{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1099.8899999999999,"volume_24hr":1098.22,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.506776809692383,"normalized_volume":13.566803932189941,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1099.8899999999999,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 15%","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":200.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T20:08:29.519887Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T20:08:29.519887Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.045096Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","chart_24h":[17.41,422.41,865.35,863.6800000000001,1074.82,1074.82,1096.95,1098.22],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-15","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-15","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 15%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":200.0,"volume_24hr":200.0,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":200.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.038995742797852,"normalized_volume":8.755331039428711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:26:29.489431Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:26:29.489431Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-25","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-25","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 25%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":211.57,"volume_24hr":209.9,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":208.23000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.221845626831055,"normalized_volume":8.9410982131958,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T13:38:14.650070Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T13:35:26.159101Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.58,0.58,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-30","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-30","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 30%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":282.18,"volume_24hr":282.18,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":266.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.378670692443848,"normalized_volume":9.923705101013184,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T20:43:34.805357Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T20:39:48.291044Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.41,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-35","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-35","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 35%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":205.0,"volume_24hr":205.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":205.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.13223648071289,"normalized_volume":8.836649894714355,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T06:05:36.904002Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T06:05:36.904002Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-40","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":201.14,"volume_24hr":201.14,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":201.14,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.060419082641602,"normalized_volume":8.774015426635742,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T16:59:51.299670Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T16:57:28.106371Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-20","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-20","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 20%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T02:42:22.138425Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-15T01:55:30.979376Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-45","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN-45","question":"Will Elijah Manley receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the FL-20 Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elijah Manley in the FL-20 Democratic primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T16:01:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T04:08:44.919602Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T04:08:44.919602Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-20-democratic-primary-elijah-manley-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary20d26eman","event_title":"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY20D26EMAN","as_of":"2026-08-16T22:38:19.370662Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent\" — top market at 43% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}