{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2485.0,"volume_24hr":2199.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.94013023376465,"normalized_volume":16.909576416015625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2424.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 20%","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.88,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":946.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-16T07:15:30.192935Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T07:15:30.192935Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.045096Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","chart_24h":[322.0,61.0,36.0,466.0,2112.0,2194.0,2199.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-20","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-20","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 20%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":946.0,"volume_24hr":946.0,"prob_24h_change":0.88,"volume_24h_change":946.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.764724731445312,"normalized_volume":14.62105655670166,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T09:08:27.603488Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T09:08:27.603488Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.88,0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-15","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-15","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 15%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":225.0,"volume_24hr":225.0,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":225.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.487727165222168,"normalized_volume":9.146684646606445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.87,0.87,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-25","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-25","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 25%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":225.0,"volume_24hr":225.0,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":225.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.487727165222168,"normalized_volume":9.146684646606445,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.54,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-30","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-30","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 30%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.39,0.61],"probability":0.39,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":230.0,"volume_24hr":230.0,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":230.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.572575569152832,"normalized_volume":9.220684051513672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-35","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-35","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 35%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":30.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.2091498374938965,"normalized_volume":3.6709353923797607,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-40","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":502.0,"volume_24hr":502.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":502.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.812116622924805,"normalized_volume":12.045991897583008,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-45","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR-45","question":"Will Michael Carbonara receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the FL-22 Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Carbonara in the FL-22 Republican primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-14T15:58:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":327.0,"volume_24hr":41.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.08,"volume_24h_change":-281.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.98653507232666,"normalized_volume":10.446925163269043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-16T08:54:36.210383Z","added_at":"2026-08-14T16:02:16.310719Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/fl-22-republican-primary-michael-carbonara-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-flprimary22r26mcar","event_title":"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-FLPRIMARY22R26MCAR","as_of":"2026-08-16T09:13:45.526512Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"FL-22 Republican primary: Michael Carbonara vote percent\" — top market at 88% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}