{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16154.960000000001,"volume_24hr":988.91,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.761241912841797,"normalized_volume":24.37989616394043,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":13672.41,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"20% - 25%","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2.6299999999999955,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.100414Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","chart_24h":[1273.1100000000001,1249.24,1366.3600000000001,1374.3600000000001,1355.6100000000001,1354.73,1345.75,1390.66,1390.66,1394.68,1301.17,1168.46,1205.6100000000001,1290.13,1281.13,1187.62,988.91],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-22","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-22","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 20% and 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"20% - 25%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 20% to 24.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2154.11,"volume_24hr":502.63,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2.6299999999999955,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.882845878601074,"normalized_volume":19.116134643554688,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-27","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-27","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 25% and 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"25% - 30%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 25% to 29.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2848.16,"volume_24hr":486.28,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":367.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.735956192016602,"normalized_volume":20.53203582763672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-12","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-12","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 10% and 15% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"10% - 15%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 10% to 14.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3784.44,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-561.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.025005340576172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:31:59.818024Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:36.754110Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-17","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-17","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 15% and 20% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"15% - 20%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 15% to 19.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1905.07,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.509366989135742,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T17:18:59.164336Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T23:30:34.324713Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-2","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-2","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 0% and 5% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"Below 5%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 0% to 4.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1532.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.458473205566406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:38:35.458636Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T12:20:22.915032Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-67","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-67","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 35%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2453.8,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.77018165588379,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T04:44:40.265057Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T07:14:06.577732Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-7","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR-7","question":"Will Steve Marshall receive between 5% and 10% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary?","group_item_title":"5% - 10%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Marshall in the first round of the 2026 Alabama Republican U.S. Senate primary is 5% to 9.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1476.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.283559799194336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:38:35.458636Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T12:20:22.915032Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/alabama-republican-senate-primary-steve-marshall-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-kxsenatealr-26-smarsmar","event_title":"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-KXSENATEALR-26-SMARSMAR","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:08:52.312073Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent\" — top market at 98% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}