{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":247019.68,"volume_24hr":3586.19,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.19439125061035,"normalized_volume":40.034053802490234,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":151821.87,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KY4R26TMASTMAS","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"45% - 48%","top_outcome_probability":0.95,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2290.5,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.521999Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.100414Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","chart_24h":[36967.159999999996,36981.729999999996,36898.7,36898.6,36898.6,36948.49,40242.82,40289.61,40238.52,40257.27,40267.65,12533.880000000001,12501.630000000001,12625.630000000001,3778.08,3686.19,3586.19],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-46","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-46","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 45% and 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"45% - 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 45% to 47.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.050000000000000044],"probability":0.95,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":18408.96,"volume_24hr":2504.69,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2290.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.966238021850586,"normalized_volume":31.293630599975586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-43","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-43","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 42% and 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"42% - 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 42% to 44.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":13410.63,"volume_24hr":1034.75,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":943.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.28701400756836,"normalized_volume":29.30740737915039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T16:04:43.418200Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T16:03:39.627984Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-40","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 39% and 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"39% - 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 39% to 41.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":10000.94,"volume_24hr":46.75,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":46.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.359935283660889,"normalized_volume":27.52614402770996,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T20:10:30.495500Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T20:09:17.291463Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-19","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-19","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 0% and 39% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"Below 39%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 0% to 38.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":7238.09,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.627758026123047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T11:41:12.137933Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T08:30:41.551151Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-49","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-49","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 48% and 51% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"48% - 51%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 48% to 50.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":20404.99,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.953086853027344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T17:58:33.328452Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T15:30:48.270560Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-52","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-52","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 51% and 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"51% - 54%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 51% to 53.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":29745.34,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":34.42620086669922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T02:07:03.941479Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T15:45:14.010004Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-55","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-55","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 54% and 57% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"54% - 57%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 54% to 56.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":15968.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.39388084411621,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T02:33:07.046347Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:34:18.560839Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-58","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-58","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive between 57% and 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"57% - 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 57% to 59.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":13913.74,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.53497314453125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:51:40.590783Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T19:34:18.560839Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-80","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS-80","question":"Will Thomas Massie receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky 4th Congressional District Republican primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":117928.48,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-8834.44,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.248741149902344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:31:59.818024Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:17:36.754110Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:06:07.284184Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/ky-04-republican-primary-thomas-massie-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-ky4r26tmastmas","event_title":"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-KY4R26TMASTMAS","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:08:02.461952Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent\" — top market at 95% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}