{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6043.97,"volume_24hr":6043.97,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.312463760375977,"normalized_volume":20.46686363220215,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5731.48,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SENATEMID26AELSAELS","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 40%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.99,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1401.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.180861Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.180861Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.336558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","chart_24h":[0.0,615.04,618.04,4621.04,5373.53,5381.53,5834.62],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-40","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1401.0,"volume_24hr":1401.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1401.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.22197914123535,"normalized_volume":16.343109130859375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T17:22:27.473683Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T17:18:31.271419Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-41","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-41","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 41% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 41%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 41% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1201.0,"volume_24hr":1201.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1201.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.28792381286621,"normalized_volume":15.656160354614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T17:22:27.473683Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T17:18:31.271419Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-42","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-42","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 42%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1201.0,"volume_24hr":1201.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":1201.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.28792381286621,"normalized_volume":15.656160354614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T17:22:27.473683Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T17:18:31.271419Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-43","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-43","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 43%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 43% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":250.0,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.99,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.922995567321777,"normalized_volume":9.504191398620605,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:27:46.291905Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.98,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-44","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-44","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 44%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":38.04,"volume_24hr":38.04,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":38.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.684305667877197,"normalized_volume":4.180511474609375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T18:35:10.094753Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T18:35:10.094753Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-45","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-45","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.923428773880005,"normalized_volume":2.8854777812957764,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T19:55:33.695056Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T19:53:09.536482Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-50","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-50","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.3588979244232178,"normalized_volume":0.9993987679481506,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-51","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-51","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 51% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 51%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 51% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.86,0.14],"probability":0.86,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":178.35,"volume_24hr":178.35,"prob_24h_change":0.86,"volume_24h_change":178.35,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.398600578308105,"normalized_volume":8.383077621459961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:27:46.291905Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-52","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-52","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.82,0.18000000000000005],"probability":0.82,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.82,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.2033659964799881,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:27:46.291905Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-53","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-53","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 53%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 53% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"probability":0.7,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.7,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.015576362609863,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.7,0.7,0.7]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-54","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-54","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 54%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.65,0.35],"probability":0.65,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":203.0,"volume_24hr":203.0,"prob_24h_change":0.65,"volume_24h_change":203.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.971364974975586,"normalized_volume":8.804316520690918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-55","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-55","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 55%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.015576362609863,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-56","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-56","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 56%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.52,0.48],"probability":0.52,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":104.02,"volume_24hr":104.02,"prob_24h_change":0.52,"volume_24h_change":104.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.16871166229248,"normalized_volume":6.743110656738281,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-57","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-57","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 57% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 57%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 57% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":142.37,"volume_24hr":142.37,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":142.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.436164855957031,"normalized_volume":7.675256252288818,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-58","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-58","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 58%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.4,0.6],"probability":0.4,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":173.11,"volume_24hr":173.11,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":173.11,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.268709182739258,"normalized_volume":8.28754997253418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.4]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-59","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-59","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 59% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 59%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 59% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":405.77,"volume_24hr":405.77,"prob_24h_change":0.36,"volume_24h_change":405.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.279991149902344,"normalized_volume":11.237638473510742,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-60","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-60","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":143.94,"volume_24hr":143.94,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":143.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.481996536254883,"normalized_volume":7.708962917327881,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.27,0.27,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-63","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-63","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 63% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 63%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 63% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":16.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.397707462310791,"normalized_volume":2.4988369941711426,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T19:55:33.695056Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T19:53:09.536482Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-64","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-64","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 64%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":360.37,"volume_24hr":360.37,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":360.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.683974266052246,"normalized_volume":10.799299240112305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-46","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-46","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T19:06:39.157028Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T19:06:39.157028Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-47","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-47","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 47%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 47% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-48","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-48","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 48%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-49","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-49","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 49%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 49% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-61","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-61","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 61% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 61%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 61% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-62","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS-62","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary?","group_item_title":"At least 62%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Senate Democratic primary is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-04T15:25:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-04T20:23:48.542141Z","added_at":"2026-08-04T15:27:29.709220Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/michigan-senate-democratic-primary-abdul-el-sayed-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemid26aelsaels","event_title":"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMID26AELSAELS","as_of":"2026-08-04T20:38:32.685523Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent\" — top market at 99% probability across 25 outcomes","source_url":null}}