{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2796.06,"volume_24hr":2348.7400000000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.584583282470703,"normalized_volume":17.338390350341797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2681.85,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SENATEMNR26MTAF","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"At least 40%","top_outcome_probability":0.96,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.96,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":500.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:21.757909Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:21.757909Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:25.835454Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","chart_24h":[245.21,245.21,280.88,356.7,356.7,1156.7,1188.92,1128.71,1417.71,2217.71],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-40","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-40","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 40%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.05999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":500.0,"volume_24hr":500.0,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":500.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.19538688659668,"normalized_volume":12.030567169189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:32:17.428825Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-45","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-45","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 45%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":171.36,"volume_24hr":111.15,"prob_24h_change":0.07000000000000006,"volume_24h_change":50.940000000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.335522651672363,"normalized_volume":8.25512981414795,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-50","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-50","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 50%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1116.93,"volume_24hr":1116.93,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":1116.93,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.647336959838867,"normalized_volume":15.337650299072266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:22.567326Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:22.567326Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-55","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-55","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 55%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":325.75,"volume_24hr":325.75,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":325.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.044976234436035,"normalized_volume":10.433157920837402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T22:05:52.698209Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:22.567326Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-60","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-60","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 60%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":499.21,"volume_24hr":178.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999953,"volume_24h_change":178.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.278634071350098,"normalized_volume":12.024459838867188,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T22:05:52.698209Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:22.567326Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-65","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-65","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 65% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 65%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 65% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":155.97,"volume_24hr":116.83,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":116.83,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.531988143920898,"normalized_volume":7.957981109619141,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T22:05:52.698209Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T22:02:22.567326Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-70","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-70","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 70%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":26.84,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.4446699619293213,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-75","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF-75","question":"Will Michele Tafoya receive at least 75% of the popular vote in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary?","group_item_title":"At least 75%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michele Tafoya in the 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate primary is 75% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-06T16:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T21:29:14.982560Z","added_at":"2026-08-06T16:38:26.472808Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/minnesota-republican-senate-primary-michele-tafoya-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatemnr26mtaf","event_title":"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATEMNR26MTAF","as_of":"2026-08-11T22:16:42.907677Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Minnesota Republican Senate primary: Michele Tafoya vote percent\" — top market at 84% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}