{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","ticker":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12799.89,"volume_24hr":1198.78,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.652217864990234,"normalized_volume":23.22265625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8080.71,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"SENATETXR26KPKPAX","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"55% - 58%","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-85.19,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:44:02.104666Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:44:02.104666Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.184498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","chart_24h":[715.15,613.72,548.72,620.46,620.46,654.14,1131.76,1431.76,1446.62,1346.62,1363.18,1375.18,1198.78],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-56","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-56","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 55% and 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"55% - 58%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 55% to 57.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":1532.09,"volume_24hr":347.45,"prob_24h_change":0.08999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-85.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.287712097167969,"normalized_volume":17.457448959350586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:24:24.678033Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:24:24.678033Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-53","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-53","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 52% and 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"52% - 55%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 52% to 54.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":1783.48,"volume_24hr":542.77,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":367.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.227168083190918,"normalized_volume":18.187698364257812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:45:04.144712Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:44:02.178838Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-59","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-59","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 58% and 61% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"58% - 61%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 58% to 60.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":857.4,"volume_24hr":162.25,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":128.57,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.310588836669922,"normalized_volume":14.805922508239746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:45:04.144712Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:44:02.178838Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-62","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-62","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 61% and 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"61% - 64%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 61% to 63.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":159.27,"volume_24hr":80.77,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":80.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.955326080322266,"normalized_volume":8.363077163696289,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:31:59.818024Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:30:57.461329Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-50","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-50","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 49% and 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"49% - 52%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 49% to 51.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":146.18,"volume_24hr":9.34,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":9.34,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.9570125341415405,"normalized_volume":8.084721565246582,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:31:59.818024Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:30:57.461329Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-47","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-47","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 46% and 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"46% - 49%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 46% to 48.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":295.61,"volume_24hr":56.2,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":56.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.872340202331543,"normalized_volume":10.514032363891602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T14:45:04.144712Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T14:44:02.178838Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-82","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-82","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"At least 64%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":598.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-105.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.273148536682129,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T12:33:43.468702Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T12:32:37.293840Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-21","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-21","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 0% and 43% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"Below 43%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 0% to 42.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":4413.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.854000091552734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T22:08:40.968267Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T02:14:35.825860Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-44","event_id":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","slug":"KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX-44","question":"Will Ken Paxton receive between 43% and 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff?","group_item_title":"43% - 46%","description":"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican runoff is 43% to 45.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-20T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-26T14:00:00Z","volume":3014.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.825990676879883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T16:52:51.632831Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T02:14:35.825860Z","added_at":"2026-05-20T14:07:42.257058Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvoteprimary/texas-senate-republican-runoff-ken-paxton-vote-percent/kxvoteprimary-senatetxr26kpkpax","event_title":"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXVOTEPRIMARY-SENATETXR26KPKPAX","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:08:51.729658Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent\" — top market at 29% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}