{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","ticker":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16993.77,"volume_24hr":9.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.7423560619354248,"normalized_volume":25.802021026611328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5222.39,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2050","top_outcome_probability":0.77,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-22.36,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T15:02:00.559089Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T15:02:00.559089Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","chart_24h":[31.36,6.0,9.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","event_id":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","question":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","group_item_title":"Before 2050","description":"If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAt least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.77,0.22999999999999998],"probability":0.77,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2050-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":16993.77,"volume_24hr":9.0,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":-22.36,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8641682863235474,"normalized_volume":29.53631019592285,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T16:09:11.520068Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T16:09:11.520068Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","event_title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARMING-50","as_of":"2026-09-08T20:51:42.684858Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?\" — top market at 77% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}