{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","ticker":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14270.94,"volume_24hr":10.16,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.15805983543396,"normalized_volume":24.094078063964844,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5262.37,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2050","top_outcome_probability":0.8,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.0399999999999991,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:22.704085Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:22.704085Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","chart_24h":[14.2,15.2,5.2,11.36,10.16],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","event_id":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","question":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","group_item_title":"Before 2050","description":"If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAt least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8,0.19999999999999996],"probability":0.8,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2050-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":14270.94,"volume_24hr":10.16,"prob_24h_change":-0.019999999999999907,"volume_24h_change":-1.0399999999999991,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.295147657394409,"normalized_volume":28.048898696899414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:00.251336Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:04:00.251336Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","event_title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","chart_24h":[0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARMING-50","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:32:17.228346Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?\" — top market at 80% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}