{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","ticker":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15564.41,"volume_24hr":0.24,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.016219133511185646,"normalized_volume":20.82060432434082,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5281.53,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2050","top_outcome_probability":0.79,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.24,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:06:52.683061Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:06:52.683061Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","event_id":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","question":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","group_item_title":"Before 2050","description":"If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAt least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2050-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":15564.41,"volume_24hr":0.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.017681296914815903,"normalized_volume":24.24892807006836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T16:09:08.338206Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T16:06:52.857326Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","event_title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.8,0.79]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARMING-50","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:03:23.338866Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?\" — top market at 79% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}