{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARMING-50","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:00:12.495670Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?\" — 69% as of 2026-10-23 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARMING-50","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","ticker":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":21256.43,"volume_24hr":135.98,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.07862663269043,"normalized_volume":26.59572982788086,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":4098.26,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2050","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":135.98,"updated_at":"2026-10-23T19:22:49.486145Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T19:22:49.486145Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARMING-50","event_id":"KXWARMING-50","slug":"KXWARMING-50","question":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","group_item_title":"Before 2050","description":"If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAt least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-06-05T16:45:00Z","end_date":"2050-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2050-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":21256.43,"volume_24hr":135.98,"prob_24h_change":0.029999999999999916,"volume_24h_change":135.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.054669380187988,"normalized_volume":30.909151077270508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-23T19:22:49.985321Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-23T19:22:49.985321Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarming/will-the-world-pass-2-degrees-celsius-over-pre-industrial-levels-before-2050/kxwarming-50","event_title":"Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?","chart_24h":[0.66,0.66,0.69]}]}