{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","ticker":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1761.73,"volume_24hr":1761.73,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.184070587158203,"normalized_volume":13.384026527404785,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1610.73,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","top_outcome_probability":0.84,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.84,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":29.06,"updated_at":"2026-06-30T07:51:44.947042Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T07:51:44.947042Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:45.944437Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","chart_24h":[0.0,202.0,413.77,463.77,613.77,940.59,946.88,948.89,1310.35,1310.35,1761.73],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-AI","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-AI","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":29.06,"volume_24hr":29.06,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":29.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8028006553649902,"normalized_volume":3.4253671169281006,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T07:39:40.571816Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T07:38:51.747672Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-DEFL","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-DEFL","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Deflation / Deflationary","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Deflation / Deflationary as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.11000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":407.55,"volume_24hr":407.55,"prob_24h_change":0.84,"volume_24h_change":407.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.870158195495605,"normalized_volume":10.69202709197998,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.84,0.84,0.84]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-PROD","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-PROD","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Productivity","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Productivity as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":161.85,"volume_24hr":161.85,"prob_24h_change":0.83,"volume_24h_change":161.85,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.516243934631348,"normalized_volume":7.670993804931641,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T07:39:40.571816Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T07:38:51.747672Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-RATE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-RATE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Rate Cut / Cut Rates","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Rate Cut / Cut Rates as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.20999999999999996],"probability":0.79,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":56.29,"volume_24hr":56.29,"prob_24h_change":0.79,"volume_24h_change":56.29,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.380688667297363,"normalized_volume":4.846647262573242,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-OIL","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-OIL","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Oil","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Oil as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":186.2,"volume_24hr":186.2,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":186.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.988656044006348,"normalized_volume":8.096518516540527,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-RECE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-RECE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Recession","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Recession as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":2.01,"volume_24hr":2.01,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":2.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.398699551820755,"normalized_volume":0.35912802815437317,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-MIDD","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-MIDD","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Middle East","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Middle East as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.44,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.075961112976074,"normalized_volume":4.572164535522461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-IRAN","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-IRAN","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Iran","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Iran as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.12000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":22.77,"volume_24hr":22.77,"prob_24h_change":0.34,"volume_24h_change":22.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.29622220993042,"normalized_volume":2.969067096710205,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T07:38:51.747672Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T07:38:51.747672Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-TRUM","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-TRUM","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Trump","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Trump as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":180.0,"volume_24hr":180.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":180.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.873305320739746,"normalized_volume":7.992616176605225,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:09:35.226826Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:09:35.226826Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-TARI","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-TARI","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Tariff","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Tariff as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":327.0,"volume_24hr":327.0,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":327.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.018917083740234,"normalized_volume":9.925272941589355,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-SUPR","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-SUPR","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Supreme Court","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Supreme Court as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":329.0,"volume_24hr":329.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":329.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.042055130004883,"normalized_volume":9.946114540100098,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T08:18:03.347328Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T08:18:03.347328Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-NQE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-NQE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8879488706588745,"normalized_volume":1.7005671262741089,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T08:04:48.816804Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T08:04:48.816804Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-CRYP","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-CRYP","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:22:28.913126Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-DATA","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-DATA","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Data","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Data as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T04:47:16.260496Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T04:47:16.260496Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-POWE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-POWE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Powell","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Powell as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T09:09:35.226826Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T09:09:35.226826Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-STAB","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01-STAB","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026?","group_item_title":"Stablecoin","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Stablecoin as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-16T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-30T03:40:22.058903Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-30T03:40:22.058903Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T22:07:46.095165Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-ecb-discussion/kxwarshmention-26jul01","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01","as_of":"2026-06-30T09:39:08.959427Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion?\" — top market at 84% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}