{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","ticker":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":15863.34,"volume_24hr":15862.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.36094093322754,"normalized_volume":25.31524658203125,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":13629.26,"categories":["Mentions"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.69,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1362.51,"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.075609Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.075609Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:12.681655Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,134.5,383.38,450.12,1346.1200000000001,1346.1200000000001,1678.1200000000001,1846.1200000000001,3299.19,8050.76,10694.36,13772.58,14082.25,15510.39],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-AI","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-AI","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"AI / Artificial Intelligence","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.69,0.31000000000000005],"probability":0.69,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":1362.51,"volume_24hr":1362.51,"prob_24h_change":0.69,"volume_24h_change":1362.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.81436538696289,"normalized_volume":14.611355781555176,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.9,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.69]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-PROD","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-PROD","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Productivity","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Productivity as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":2476.0,"volume_24hr":2475.86,"prob_24h_change":0.68,"volume_24h_change":2475.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.227272033691406,"normalized_volume":17.12832260131836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-UNCE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-UNCE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Uncertainty","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Uncertainty as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":1755.73,"volume_24hr":1755.73,"prob_24h_change":0.66,"volume_24h_change":1755.73,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.230009078979492,"normalized_volume":15.655268669128418,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:37:47.828850Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:37:47.828850Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RATE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RATE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Rate Cut / Cut Rate","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Rate Cut / Cut Rate as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":150.0,"volume_24hr":150.0,"prob_24h_change":0.64,"volume_24h_change":150.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.574254989624023,"normalized_volume":7.060173511505127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RAIS","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RAIS","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Raise / Hike","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Raise / Hike as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":299.24,"volume_24hr":299.24,"prob_24h_change":0.59,"volume_24h_change":299.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.377018928527832,"normalized_volume":9.126965522766113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:52:20.796728Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:51:19.826346Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.64,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-SHOC","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-SHOC","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Shock","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Shock as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":1814.78,"volume_24hr":1814.78,"prob_24h_change":0.58,"volume_24h_change":1814.78,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.418315887451172,"normalized_volume":15.79412841796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:52:20.796728Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:51:19.826346Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-OIL","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-OIL","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Oil","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Oil as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.56,0.43999999999999995],"probability":0.56,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":1606.36,"volume_24hr":1606.19,"prob_24h_change":0.56,"volume_24h_change":1606.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.727407455444336,"normalized_volume":15.285082817077637,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:05:28.594485Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-TARI","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-TARI","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Tariff","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Tariff as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":679.03,"volume_24hr":679.03,"prob_24h_change":0.54,"volume_24h_change":679.03,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.178869247436523,"normalized_volume":11.930497169494629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-REST","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-REST","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Restrictive","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Restrictive as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":554.0,"volume_24hr":554.0,"prob_24h_change":0.51,"volume_24h_change":554.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.186604499816895,"normalized_volume":11.1987886428833,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-LAYO","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-LAYO","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Layoff","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Layoff as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":425.0,"volume_24hr":425.0,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":425.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.941716194152832,"normalized_volume":10.280792236328125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:25:14.444860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:23:53.750839Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.66,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-GAS","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-GAS","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Gas / Gasoline","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Gas / Gasoline as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3,0.7],"probability":0.3,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":435.27,"volume_24hr":435.0,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":435.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.04878044128418,"normalized_volume":10.36185359954834,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:05:28.594485Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-STAB","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-STAB","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Stablecoin","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Stablecoin as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":1272.0,"volume_24hr":1272.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":1272.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.439044952392578,"normalized_volume":14.334590911865234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.57,0.57,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-CRYP","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-CRYP","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":684.0,"volume_24hr":684.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":684.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.215017318725586,"normalized_volume":11.957152366638184,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.58,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RECE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RECE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Recession","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Recession as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":585.0,"volume_24hr":585.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":585.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.448979377746582,"normalized_volume":11.392266273498535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:25:14.444860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:23:53.750839Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.51,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-POWE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-POWE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Powell","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Powell as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.21,0.79],"probability":0.21,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":2.25,"volume_24hr":2.25,"prob_24h_change":0.21,"volume_24h_change":2.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5283743739128113,"normalized_volume":0.3896297514438629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:06:13.446117Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.21]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-TRUM","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-TRUM","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Trump","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Trump as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":842.12,"volume_24hr":842.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":842.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.26224136352539,"normalized_volume":12.729927062988281,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:05:28.594485Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.47,0.47,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-IRAN","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-IRAN","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Iran / Iranian","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Iran / Iranian as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":342.0,"volume_24hr":342.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":342.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.961535453796387,"normalized_volume":9.557994842529297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T03:25:14.444860Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T03:23:53.750839Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RENO","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RENO","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Renovation","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Renovation as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":528.07,"volume_24hr":528.07,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":528.07,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.957489013671875,"normalized_volume":11.02983570098877,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-NQE","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-NQE","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Event does not qualify","description":"If \na qualifying event does not occur\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":49.98,"volume_24hr":49.98,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":49.98,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.878550052642822,"normalized_volume":4.334914684295654,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.2,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-DEFL","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-DEFL","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Deflation / Deflationary","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Deflation / Deflationary as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RESI","event_id":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","slug":"KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14-RESI","question":"What will Kevin Warsh say during House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","group_item_title":"Resilient / Resilience","description":"If \n Kevin Warsh says Resilient / Resilience as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report\n, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nVideo of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve’s Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report will be used.\n\nPayout Criterion: \nThe exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. \nPlural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.\nFor the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. \nThe event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.\nExcept as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.\nPlease see full rules for more details.\n\nEvent does not qualify:\nIf an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for \"Event does not qualify\" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.  \nThe event will resolve based on Kevin Warsh speaking in an official capacity. If Kevin Warsh is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).\n\nPostponement:\nIf the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-13T17:16:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-29T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Mentions"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-14T04:04:32.638674Z","added_at":"2026-07-13T17:22:13.061080Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshmention/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-the-semi-annual-monetary-policy-report/kxwarshmention-26jul14","event_title":"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14","as_of":"2026-07-14T04:16:27.278314Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report?\" — top market at 68% probability across 21 outcomes","source_url":null}}