{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","ticker":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","title":"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3481.0,"volume_24hr":3481.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.441499710083008,"normalized_volume":14.861841201782227,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3081.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.07,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.07,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":376.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:12:20.533946Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:12:20.533946Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:43:31.623005Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshout/kevin-warsh-out-as-fed-chair/kxwarshout-26jul","chart_24h":[0.0,376.0,376.0,3481.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-30JAN01","event_id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-30JAN01","question":"Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2030","description":"If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nKevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":376.0,"volume_24hr":376.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":376.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.777235984802246,"normalized_volume":9.158482551574707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T16:35:24.694345Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T16:31:18.174337Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:43:31.849477Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshout/kevin-warsh-out-as-fed-chair/kxwarshout-26jul","event_title":"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-28JAN01","event_id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-28JAN01","question":"Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nKevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1400.0,"volume_24hr":1400.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":1400.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.04067039489746,"normalized_volume":13.660139083862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:16:40.468451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:12:21.887405Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:43:31.849477Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshout/kevin-warsh-out-as-fed-chair/kxwarshout-26jul","event_title":"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-27JAN01","event_id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-27JAN01","question":"Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nKevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":1705.0,"volume_24hr":1705.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":1705.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.255380630493164,"normalized_volume":14.412980079650879,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-23T00:16:40.468451Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T00:12:21.887405Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:43:31.849477Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshout/kevin-warsh-out-as-fed-chair/kxwarshout-26jul","event_title":"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-29JAN01","event_id":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","slug":"KXWARSHOUT-26JUL-29JAN01","question":"Will Kevin Warsh be out as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2029","description":"If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nKevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.\n\nIf the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.\n\nFor \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-22T15:35:00Z","end_date":"2029-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-22T16:47:50.109216Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-22T16:47:50.109216Z","added_at":"2026-07-22T15:43:31.849477Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwarshout/kevin-warsh-out-as-fed-chair/kxwarshout-26jul","event_title":"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWARSHOUT-26JUL","as_of":"2026-07-23T05:19:44.963084Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?\" — top market at 2% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}