{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","ticker":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1067.8,"volume_24hr":1067.8,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.071250915527344,"normalized_volume":13.163311958312988,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":824.64,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Like a Prayer","top_outcome_probability":0.24,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.24,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":132.2,"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:32:17.771067Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:32:17.771067Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.410993Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","chart_24h":[0.0,159.72,588.24,695.88,725.82,830.63,901.8,1009.8,1048.8,1067.8],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-LIK","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-LIK","question":"Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Like a Prayer","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Like a Prayer'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.24,0.76],"probability":0.24,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":132.2,"volume_24hr":132.2,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":132.2,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.1918559074401855,"normalized_volume":6.711587905883789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:06:30.163130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.93,0.21,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-BRI","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-BRI","question":"Will Bring Your Love be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Bring Your Love","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Bring Your Love'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":269.27,"volume_24hr":269.27,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":269.27,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.422816276550293,"normalized_volume":8.79356575012207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:22.348090Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:46:22.348090Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-4MI","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-4MI","question":"Will 4 Minutes be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"4 Minutes","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''4 Minutes'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":158.33,"volume_24hr":158.33,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":158.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.728189945220947,"normalized_volume":7.212105751037598,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:06:30.163130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-VOG","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-VOG","question":"Will Vogue be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Vogue","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Vogue'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":99.41,"volume_24hr":99.41,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":99.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.384944915771484,"normalized_volume":5.958561897277832,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:23.290288Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:51:23.290288Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-HUN","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-HUN","question":"Will Hung Up be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Hung Up","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Hung Up'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":138.81,"volume_24hr":138.81,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":138.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.334969520568848,"normalized_volume":6.845144271850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:06:30.163130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-INT","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-INT","question":"Will Into the Groove be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Into the Groove","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Into the Groove'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":112.87,"volume_24hr":112.87,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":112.87,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.738215923309326,"normalized_volume":6.288241863250732,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T01:23:14.169282Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T01:23:14.169282Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-IFE","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-IFE","question":"Will I Feel So Free be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"I Feel So Free","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''I Feel So Free'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":60.75,"volume_24hr":60.75,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":60.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.109058380126953,"normalized_volume":4.767878532409668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:33:36.858793Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:32:18.033585Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.31,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-MAT","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-MAT","question":"Will Material Girl be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Material Girl","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Material Girl'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":52.16,"volume_24hr":52.16,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":52.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.7445878982543945,"normalized_volume":4.427746772766113,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.23,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-POP","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-POP","question":"Will Popular be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Popular","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Popular'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":27.0,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":27.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3370115756988525,"normalized_volume":3.1141679286956787,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States","Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:06:30.163130Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-LOV","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-LOV","question":"Will Love Sensation be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Love Sensation","description":"If the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Love Sensation'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-15T19:25:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":17.0,"volume_24hr":17.0,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.5107405185699463,"normalized_volume":2.3430745601654053,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T00:28:44.829001Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T00:28:44.829001Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T19:38:06.596836Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-DAI","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-DAI","question":"Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Dai Dai","description":"If the First song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Dai Dai'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T23:58:03.335337Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-VIV","event_id":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","slug":"KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20-VIV","question":"Will Viva La Vivda be the first song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium?","group_item_title":"Viva La Vivda","description":"If the First song performed by Madonna during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at the New York New Jersey Stadium is the song ''Viva La Vivda'' as performed  by Madonna (i.e., its recognizable melody or lyrics sung), whether performed in full, in part, in a medley, or in a mashup, provided it is at least reasonably begun, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market pertains to the first qualifying song performed during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show performed by Madonna. If none of the songs listed in this event are the first qualifying song, all markets in this event will resolve to No.\n\nCLARIFICATION: For purposes of this Contract, the following are not eligible to be the first song and are disregarded when determining the first song, regardless of when they occur: national anthems, the FIFA Anthem (\"DNA\") or other governing-body or tournament anthems, official tournament songs not performed by Madonna, walk-on or entrance music, interstitial or transition music, and any background, or venue music not performed by Madonna.\n\nThe performance must be confirmed by official sources including setlist archives, official tour programs, livestream recordings, or post-event press materials issued by the artist or event organizers. Full or partial live performances count as performed if the song is at least reasonably begun. Medleys count each song as performed in the order they appear. Interludes, band instrumentals while the singer talks, rehearsals, sound checks, and unconfirmed performances do not qualify. If multiple performances occur within the time period, the ordering is determined within that specific time period. Encores continue the count from the main set unless the contract explicitly specifies otherwise (e.g., \"first song of encore\").","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.96,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-16T00:30:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-27T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-20T03:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T02:05:08.794670Z","added_at":"2026-07-15T23:58:03.335337Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcfirstsong/madonna-first-song-fifa-world-cup-final-halftime-show/kxwcfirstsong-mad26jul20","event_title":"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWCFIRSTSONG-MAD26JUL20","as_of":"2026-07-16T03:27:09.636420Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Madonna First Song: FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show\" — top market at 22% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}