{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","ticker":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","slug":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","title":"Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T19:29:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1978.12,"volume_24hr":1978.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.43582534790039,"normalized_volume":15.045907974243164,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1455.9,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.89,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1978.12,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T12:03:07.673431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:03:07.673431Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T19:38:52.150101Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwolfordlopez/will-scotus-strike-down-hawaiis-default-ban-on-guns-on-private-property-open-to-the-public/kxwolfordlopez-26aug","chart_24h":[0.0,454.0,454.0,1815.9,1933.52],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","event_id":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","slug":"KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","question":"Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Jason Wolford in Wolford v. Lopez","group_item_title":"Before 2026","description":"If the Supreme Court, in Wolford v. Lopez, rules Hawaii may not presumptively prohibit licensed concealed-carry permit holders from carrying handguns on private property open to the public unless the property owner affirmatively gives express permission, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that Hawaii may not presumptively prohibit licensed concealed-carry permit holders from carrying handguns on private property open to the public unless the property owner affirmatively gives express permission to the handgun carrier, after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026. The market resolves to No if the Court upholds Hawaii’s presumptive prohibition, or if the case is dismissed, DIG’d, remanded, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on whether Hawaii may impose that express-permission requirement.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T19:29:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T14:00:00Z","volume":1978.12,"volume_24hr":1978.12,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":1978.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.411890029907227,"normalized_volume":16.775527954101562,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T12:04:53.969706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T12:03:07.884925Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T19:38:52.346216Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwolfordlopez/will-scotus-strike-down-hawaiis-default-ban-on-guns-on-private-property-open-to-the-public/kxwolfordlopez-26aug","event_title":"Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.89]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXWOLFORDLOPEZ-26AUG","as_of":"2026-06-16T12:18:33.545323Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will SCOTUS strike down Hawaii’s default ban on guns on private property open to the public?\" — top market at 89% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}