{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATETX-26","ticker":"SENATETX-26","slug":"SENATETX-26","title":"Texas Senate winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13311682.67,"volume_24hr":142363.22,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.90810775756836,"normalized_volume":72.89013671875,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":9032944.15,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"James Talarico","top_outcome_probability":0.59,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-32684.569999999992,"updated_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.260752Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.260752Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatetx/texas-senate-winner/senatetx-26","chart_24h":[210461.71,200682.24,189998.85,169849.05,175157.8,174764.39,171481.16999999998,177130.91999999998,170611.2,161375.28,156249.66,157178.66999999998,155579.64,154788.26,166259.96000000002,164952.86,170604.14,172338.71000000002,173346.78,168254.84,169237.32,168971.9,168945.05,169639.85,169035.22999999998,166387.74,166487.4,166057.08000000002,167052.0,156930.65000000002,157268.63,156285.14,155811.59,166680.36,170010.93,170062.01,169513.8,174864.19,173307.04,173837.4,170586.76,151490.52000000002,142363.22],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATETX-26-D","event_id":"SENATETX-26","slug":"SENATETX-26-D","question":"Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?","group_item_title":"James Talarico","description":"If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41000000000000003],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5686117.79,"volume_24hr":62522.3,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-32684.569999999992,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.97362518310547,"normalized_volume":75.30742645263672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.454913Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.454913Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatetx/texas-senate-winner/senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate winner?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"SENATETX-26-R","event_id":"SENATETX-26","slug":"SENATETX-26-R","question":"Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?","group_item_title":"Ken Paxton","description":"If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.5800000000000001],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-03T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":7625564.88,"volume_24hr":79840.92,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-35413.92,"normalized_vol_24hr":46.9871940612793,"normalized_volume":78.17617797851562,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.454913Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T20:59:38.454913Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/senatetx/texas-senate-winner/senatetx-26","event_title":"Texas Senate winner?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/SENATETX-26","as_of":"2026-09-19T21:07:54.155479Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Texas Senate winner?\" — top market at 42% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}