{"source":"limitless","id":"10000455","ticker":"10000455","slug":"which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-1769088464314","title":"Which party will win the House in 2026?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10000455/c7589cba-f3f8-400a-a55b-c1e261ed4366.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-22T13:30:08.842000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":849.134843,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.157350540161133,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Limitless"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Democratic Party","top_outcome_probability":0.815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:56.530846Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:54.244519Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026-1769088464314","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"37575","event_id":"10000455","slug":"democratic-party-1769088464320","question":"Democratic Party","group_item_title":"Democratic Party","description":"<p>This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.</p><p>House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.</p><p>If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.</p><p>Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.815,0.185],"probability":0.815,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-22T13:29:57.690000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":633.364177,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.360614776611328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:59.614220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:54.282799Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/democratic-party-1769088464320","event_title":"Which party will win the House in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.411,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815,0.815]},{"source":"limitless","id":"37576","event_id":"10000455","slug":"republican-party-1769088464329","question":"Republican Party","group_item_title":"Republican Party","description":"<p>This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.</p><p>House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.</p><p>If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.</p><p>Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-22T13:30:02.892000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":215.770666,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.453143119812012,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:59.614220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:22:54.282799Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/republican-party-1769088464329","event_title":"Which party will win the House in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.1855,0.1855,0.1855,0.1855,0.1855,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.185,0.1945,0.1945,0.1945,0.1945,0.1945,0.1945,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195]},{"source":"limitless","id":"37577","event_id":"10000455","slug":"other-1769088464333","question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":"<p>The 2026 U.S. House elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026. This market resolves based on which party controls the U.S. House of Representatives following the election.</p><p>House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. Determination will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination.</p><p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the outcome is not ambiguous under the above rules and neither the Democratic Party nor the Republican Party controls the House.</p><p>If control is ambiguous under the above rules, the market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 general election. At that point, the market resolves to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position.</p><p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if (in the ambiguity fallback) the elected Speaker does not caucus with either listed party at the time they are elected Speaker.</p><p>Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.”</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-01-22T13:30:08.800000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-14T12:55:27.537090Z","volume":1010.070505,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.25889778137207,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-15T12:57:23.705324Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-12T17:10:38.968615Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/other-1769088464333","event_title":"Which party will win the House in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10000455","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:30:56.048161Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Which party will win the House in 2026?\" — top market at 82% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}