{"source":"limitless","id":"10012513","ticker":"10012513","slug":"us-new-world-screwworm-above-animal-cases-by-end-of-august-2026-1783441649793","title":"US New World screwworm above __ animal cases by end of August 2026","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10012513/cc021d90-2a7c-428f-ba0b-263040168d75.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:28:28.518000Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":820.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.246135711669922,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"50","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.35450000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:59.076664Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:47.762463Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:45:56.050344Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/us-new-world-screwworm-above-animal-cases-by-end-of-august-2026-1783441649793","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"315174","event_id":"10012513","slug":"50-1783441575162","question":"50","group_item_title":"50","description":"<p>This market resolves \"YES\" if the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA APHIS) has confirmed a cumulative total of New World screwworm (NWS) animal cases in the United States equal to or greater than the number specified in the title, counting all cases with a Confirmed Date on or before August 31, 2026.</p><p><br></p><p>\"Animal cases\" means the cumulative \"Total Animal Cases\" figure reported on the USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard (domestic plus wildlife/feral), counted since the first U.S. case on June 3, 2026, regardless of whether a case is later marked active or inactive. Fly-trap detections and human cases are excluded.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source is the official USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard: <a href=\"https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/current-status/us-confirmed-cases-new-world\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/current-status/us-confirmed-cases-new-world</a> — read as of its 6:00 p.m. ET update on September 3, 2026, to allow for confirmation lag on late-August cases.</p><p><br></p><p>If the dashboard page is unavailable at the time of resolution, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.</p><p><br></p><p>As of the July 5, 2026 update, 32 cases had been confirmed.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:28:27.327000Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":685.704,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.35450000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.758657455444336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:58.196635Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:47.799016Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:45:56.070662Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/50-1783441575162","event_title":"US New World screwworm above __ animal cases by end of August 2026","chart_24h":[0.1455,0.1455,0.1455,0.1455,0.1455,0.1455,0.1305,0.1005,0.1005,0.1305,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"315175","event_id":"10012513","slug":"75-1783441575168","question":"75","group_item_title":"75","description":"<p>This market resolves \"YES\" if the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA APHIS) has confirmed a cumulative total of New World screwworm (NWS) animal cases in the United States equal to or greater than the number specified in the title, counting all cases with a Confirmed Date on or before August 31, 2026.</p><p><br></p><p>\"Animal cases\" means the cumulative \"Total Animal Cases\" figure reported on the USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard (domestic plus wildlife/feral), counted since the first U.S. case on June 3, 2026, regardless of whether a case is later marked active or inactive. Fly-trap detections and human cases are excluded.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source is the official USDA APHIS confirmed-detections dashboard: <a href=\"https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/current-status/us-confirmed-cases-new-world\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/current-status/us-confirmed-cases-new-world</a> — read as of its 6:00 p.m. ET update on September 3, 2026, to allow for confirmation lag on late-August cases.</p><p><br></p><p>If the dashboard page is unavailable at the time of resolution, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.</p><p><br></p><p>As of the July 5, 2026 update, 32 cases had been confirmed.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.021,0.979],"probability":0.021,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-07T16:28:28.461000Z","end_date":"2026-09-04T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":134.686,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.121976852416992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:58.196635Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-02T08:01:47.799016Z","added_at":"2026-07-07T16:45:56.070662Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/75-1783441575168","event_title":"US New World screwworm above __ animal cases by end of August 2026","chart_24h":[0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021,0.021]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10012513","as_of":"2026-09-02T08:19:44.613740Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"US New World screwworm above __ animal cases by end of August 2026\" — top market at 50% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}