{"source":"limitless","id":"10013455","ticker":"10013455","slug":"will-arc-launch-a-token-by-1786355719959","title":"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10013455/7172da0d-23d0-49a1-a7d1-729c86a19a02.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T09:56:59.214000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.037,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.793681621551514,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.7645,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000007,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:50.867275Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:44.545808Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T15:36:59.234746Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/will-arc-launch-a-token-by-1786355719959","chart_24h":[37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,37.037,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"353986","event_id":"10013455","slug":"december-31-2027-1786355719977","question":"December 31, 2027","group_item_title":"December 31, 2027","description":"

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.


The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.


The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7645,0.2355],"probability":0.7645,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T09:56:59.167000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000007,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:45.506166Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:44.670868Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T15:36:59.490234Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/december-31-2027-1786355719977","event_title":"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?","chart_24h":[0.8395,0.8395,0.8395,0.726,0.727,0.8395,0.8395,0.8395,0.8395,0.8395,0.84,0.842,0.8445,0.8395,0.8395,0.8395,0.731,0.7315,0.7315,0.7315,0.8395,0.8395,0.8425,0.7445,0.7435,0.746,0.746,0.746,0.746,0.747,0.751,0.755,0.7575,0.7645]},{"source":"limitless","id":"353985","event_id":"10013455","slug":"june-30-2027-1786355719973","question":"June 30, 2027","group_item_title":"June 30, 2027","description":"

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.


The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.


The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.763,0.237],"probability":0.763,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T09:56:57.452000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.14500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:45.506166Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:44.670868Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T15:36:59.490234Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/june-30-2027-1786355719973","event_title":"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?","chart_24h":[0.618,0.618,0.618,0.618,0.618,0.618,0.6175,0.7785,0.771,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.5,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763,0.763]},{"source":"limitless","id":"353984","event_id":"10013455","slug":"december-31-2026-1786355719969","question":"December 31, 2026","group_item_title":"December 31, 2026","description":"

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.


The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.


The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.232,0.768],"probability":0.232,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T09:56:56.006000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0024999999999999745,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:45.506166Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:44.670868Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T15:36:59.490234Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/december-31-2026-1786355719969","event_title":"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?","chart_24h":[0.2395,0.5,0.238,0.2395,0.238,0.238,0.238,0.238,0.2395,0.2395,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.5,0.232,0.232,0.241,0.241,0.241,0.241,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232,0.232]},{"source":"limitless","id":"353983","event_id":"10013455","slug":"september-30-2026-1786355719963","question":"September 30, 2026","group_item_title":"September 30, 2026","description":"

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.


The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.


The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.014,0.986],"probability":0.014,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T09:56:50.173000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37.037,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.793681621551514,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:45.506166Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-22T09:21:44.670868Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T15:36:59.490234Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/september-30-2026-1786355719963","event_title":"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?","chart_24h":[0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014,0.014]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10013455","as_of":"2026-08-22T09:32:05.151382Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?\" — top market at 76% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}