This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T13:20:35.322000Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T06:09:35.430434Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T06:09:30.608203Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T13:29:51.477573Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/september-30-1787663971725","event_title":"Israel closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.065,0.5,0.5,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"limitless","id":"373918","event_id":"10013819","slug":"august-31-1787663971734","question":"August 31","group_item_title":"August 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0125,0.9875],"probability":0.0125,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T13:20:36.493000Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.002999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T06:09:35.430434Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-29T06:09:30.608203Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T13:29:51.477573Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/august-31-1787663971734","event_title":"Israel closes its airspace by...?","chart_24h":[0.0155,0.0155,0.0205,0.0205,0.0155,0.0155,0.0155,0.0125,0.0125,0.012,0.012,0.5,0.5,0.0115,0.0115,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.012,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125,0.0125]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10013819","as_of":"2026-08-29T06:30:23.574246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Israel closes its airspace by...?\" — top market at 6% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}