If Karoline Leavitt leaves as White House Press Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Karoline Leavitt must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-08-26T14:11:08.233000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T19:43:06.430000Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.751537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.170957Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T14:53:17.642907Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/karoline-leavitt-1787752964212","event_title":"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375110","event_id":"10013842","slug":"amy-gleason-1787752964223","question":"Amy Gleason","group_item_title":"Amy Gleason","description":"If Amy Gleason leaves as Acting Administrator of the US DOGE Service before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Amy Gleason must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3605,0.6395],"probability":0.3605,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T14:11:09.351000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10550000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.751537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.170957Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T14:53:17.642907Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/amy-gleason-1787752964223","event_title":"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.466,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.4515,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.437,0.4375,0.437,0.43,0.4305,0.4305,0.426,0.426]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375113","event_id":"10013842","slug":"pete-hegseth-1787752964309","question":"Pete Hegseth","group_item_title":"Pete Hegseth","description":"If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3025,0.6975],"probability":0.3025,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T14:11:17.474000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03550000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.751537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.170957Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T14:53:17.642907Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/pete-hegseth-1787752964309","event_title":"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.338,0.333,0.333,0.3155,0.3155,0.3115,0.3115,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.321,0.3205,0.3205,0.321,0.321,0.321,0.321,0.322,0.322,0.33,0.3315,0.3315,0.333,0.3215,0.3245,0.3245,0.3005,0.3005,0.3,0.3,0.304,0.304]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375112","event_id":"10013842","slug":"howard-lutnick-1787752964302","question":"Howard Lutnick","group_item_title":"Howard Lutnick","description":"If Howard Lutnick leaves as Secretary of Commerce before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Howard Lutnick must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.297,0.703],"probability":0.297,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T14:11:16.103000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03550000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.751537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.170957Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T14:53:17.642907Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/howard-lutnick-1787752964302","event_title":"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3325,0.3325,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329,0.329]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375111","event_id":"10013842","slug":"susie-wiles-1787752964276","question":"Susie Wiles","group_item_title":"Susie Wiles","description":"If Susie Wiles leaves as Chief of Staff before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Susie Wiles must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For \"leave,\" cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2885,0.7115],"probability":0.2885,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T14:11:10.479000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.751537Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-04T21:07:29.170957Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T14:53:17.642907Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/susie-wiles-1787752964276","event_title":"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2845,0.2965,0.2965,0.2965,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.2855,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.283,0.2825,0.2825,0.2825,0.2825,0.2835,0.2825,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298,0.298]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10013842","as_of":"2026-09-04T21:10:13.713300Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?\" — top market at 50% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}