{"source":"limitless","id":"10013845","ticker":"10013845","slug":"traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-824-830-1787761352388","title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10013845/496cf580-2954-4518-9ce3-7b02a369cba7.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:44.178000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Limitless","Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 30","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:53.244493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.942940Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.730124Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-824-830-1787761352388","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"375237","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-30-1787761352394","question":"Above 30","group_item_title":"Above 30","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:29.043000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-30-1787761352394","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375238","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-35-1787761352403","question":"Above 35","group_item_title":"Above 35","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:30.435000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-35-1787761352403","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375239","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-40-1787761352407","question":"Above 40","group_item_title":"Above 40","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:36.013000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-40-1787761352407","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375240","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-45-1787761352411","question":"Above 45","group_item_title":"Above 45","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 45 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:37.138000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-45-1787761352411","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375241","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-50-1787761352415","question":"Above 50","group_item_title":"Above 50","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:38.351000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-50-1787761352415","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375242","event_id":"10013845","slug":"above-75-1787761352418","question":"Above 75","group_item_title":"Above 75","description":"<p>If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 75 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">IMF PortWatch</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T16:24:44.126000Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T13:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:48.981944Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-27T03:45:42.966969Z","added_at":"2026-08-26T16:37:51.819407Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-75-1787761352418","event_title":"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10013845","as_of":"2026-08-27T03:50:12.187821Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)\" — top market at 50% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}