{"source":"limitless","id":"10013848","ticker":"10013848","slug":"when-will-big-bend-border-construction-resume-1787763610631","title":"When will Big Bend border construction resume?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10013848/7469b4db-6b0e-4a89-8de9-d87a8270760c.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T17:04:14.047000Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Limitless","Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Dec 1, 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.346,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:07.801907Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:04.479223Z","added_at":"2026-08-30T10:45:36.275557Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/when-will-big-bend-border-construction-resume-1787763610631","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"375276","event_id":"10013848","slug":"before-dec-1-2026-1787763610639","question":"Before Dec 1, 2026","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"<p>If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet&#39;s official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.</p><p><br></p><p>Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts. Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.</p><p><br></p><p>Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes. Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.</p><p><br></p><p>Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.</p><p><br></p><p>The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:</p><p>Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground</p><p>Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting</p><p>Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause</p><p>An announcement that work will resume on a future date</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://apnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.axios.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Axios</a>, <a href=\"https://www.politico.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Politico</a>, <a href=\"https://semafor.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Semafor</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theinformation.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Information</a>, <a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Washington Post</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cbsnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBS</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNN</a>, <a href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fox News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.msnbc.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MSNBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bbc.co.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">BBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theguardian.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Guardian</a>, <a href=\"http://www.abc.net.au/news/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC News Australia</a>, <a href=\"https://www.scmp.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South China Morning Post</a>, and <a href=\"https://www.cbc.ca/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.346,0.654],"probability":0.346,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T17:04:06.130000Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:06.799803Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:04.574695Z","added_at":"2026-08-30T10:45:36.360119Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/before-dec-1-2026-1787763610639","event_title":"When will Big Bend border construction resume?","chart_24h":[0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346,0.346]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375277","event_id":"10013848","slug":"before-nov-1-2026-1787763610647","question":"Before Nov 1, 2026","group_item_title":"Before Nov 1, 2026","description":"<p>If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet&#39;s official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.</p><p><br></p><p>Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts. Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.</p><p><br></p><p>Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes. Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.</p><p><br></p><p>Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.</p><p><br></p><p>The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:</p><p>Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground</p><p>Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting</p><p>Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause</p><p>An announcement that work will resume on a future date</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://apnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.axios.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Axios</a>, <a href=\"https://www.politico.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Politico</a>, <a href=\"https://semafor.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Semafor</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theinformation.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Information</a>, <a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Washington Post</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cbsnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBS</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNN</a>, <a href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fox News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.msnbc.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MSNBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bbc.co.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">BBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theguardian.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Guardian</a>, <a href=\"http://www.abc.net.au/news/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC News Australia</a>, <a href=\"https://www.scmp.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South China Morning Post</a>, and <a href=\"https://www.cbc.ca/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2835,0.7165],"probability":0.2835,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T17:04:07.350000Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21650000000000003,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:06.799803Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:04.574695Z","added_at":"2026-08-30T10:45:36.360119Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/before-nov-1-2026-1787763610647","event_title":"When will Big Bend border construction resume?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.277,0.277,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2845,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835,0.2835]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375278","event_id":"10013848","slug":"before-oct-1-2026-1787763610652","question":"Before Oct 1, 2026","group_item_title":"Before Oct 1, 2026","description":"<p>If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet&#39;s official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.</p><p><br></p><p>Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts. Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.</p><p><br></p><p>Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes. Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.</p><p><br></p><p>Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.</p><p><br></p><p>The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:</p><p>Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground</p><p>Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting</p><p>Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause</p><p>An announcement that work will resume on a future date</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://apnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.axios.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Axios</a>, <a href=\"https://www.politico.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Politico</a>, <a href=\"https://semafor.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Semafor</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theinformation.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Information</a>, <a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Washington Post</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cbsnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBS</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNN</a>, <a href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Fox News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.msnbc.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MSNBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bbc.co.uk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">BBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theguardian.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Guardian</a>, <a href=\"http://www.abc.net.au/news/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ABC News Australia</a>, <a href=\"https://www.scmp.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">South China Morning Post</a>, and <a href=\"https://www.cbc.ca/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T17:04:08.508000Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:06.799803Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:04.574695Z","added_at":"2026-08-30T10:45:36.360119Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/before-oct-1-2026-1787763610652","event_title":"When will Big Bend border construction resume?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1575,0.1575,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"limitless","id":"375279","event_id":"10013848","slug":"before-sep-8-2026-1787763610656","question":"Before Sep 8, 2026","group_item_title":"Before Sep 8, 2026","description":"<p>If physical construction work on federal border security infrastructure inside Big Bend National Park resumes after Issuance and before Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.</p><p><br></p><p>Only work inside the boundary of Big Bend National Park counts. Activity elsewhere along the border, including elsewhere in the Big Bend Border Patrol sector and on state or private land, is outside this market.</p><p><br></p><p>Federal border security infrastructure means patrol and access roads, vehicle barriers, fencing or wall, detection technology, surveillance towers, lighting and power lines installed for border security purposes. Work on any one component is enough, and it does not matter how the work is characterised by the agency or its contractors.</p><p><br></p><p>Qualifying work is physical: disturbing ground, or erecting or installing any of that infrastructure.</p><p><br></p><p>The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:</p><p>Surveying, mapping, environmental review or planning that does not disturb ground</p><p>Moving or staging equipment without physical work starting</p><p>Restoration, revegetation or remediation of ground disturbed before the pause</p><p>An announcement that work will resume on a future date</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://apnews.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.axios.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Axios</a>, <a href=\"https://www.politico.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Politico</a>, <a href=\"https://semafor.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Semafor</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theinformation.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Information</a>, <a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Washington Post</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">ABC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cbsnews.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CBS</a>, <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CNN</a>, <a href=\"https://www.foxnews.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Fox News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.msnbc.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">MSNBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">NBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bbc.co.uk\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">BBC</a>, <a href=\"https://www.theguardian.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Guardian</a>, <a href=\"http://www.abc.net.au/news/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">ABC News Australia</a>, <a href=\"https://www.scmp.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">South China Morning Post</a>, and <a href=\"https://www.cbc.ca/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-26T17:04:13.977000Z","end_date":"2026-12-02T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:06.799803Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-07T22:56:04.574695Z","added_at":"2026-08-30T10:45:36.360119Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/before-sep-8-2026-1787763610656","event_title":"When will Big Bend border construction resume?","chart_24h":[0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025,0.025]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10013848","as_of":"2026-09-07T22:58:53.126397Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"When will Big Bend border construction resume?\" — top market at 35% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}