{"source":"limitless","id":"10014377","ticker":"10014377","slug":"how-many-semi-trucks-will-tesla-produce-in-a-quarter-in-2026-1789385342091","title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10014377/f85dacb6-97b8-4281-bc9a-91efbcef92ab.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:32.023000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Above 0","top_outcome_probability":0.8875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:22.517862Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.091387Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.907237Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/how-many-semi-trucks-will-tesla-produce-in-a-quarter-in-2026-1789385342091","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"397755","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-0-1789385342101","question":"Above 0","group_item_title":"Above 0","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8875,0.1125],"probability":0.8875,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:16.196000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-0-1789385342101","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.9175,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9125,0.91,0.8925,0.8925,0.8925,0.8925,0.8925,0.895,0.895,0.895,0.8925,0.8875,0.89,0.8925,0.8875,0.89,0.8925,0.8925,0.89,0.8925,0.89,0.89,0.8875]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397758","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-10000-1789385342124","question":"Above 10000","group_item_title":"Above 10000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 10000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:24.044000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-10000-1789385342124","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.12,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.15,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397756","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-1000-1789385342111","question":"Above 1000","group_item_title":"Above 1000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 1000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:17.354000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.03249999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-1000-1789385342111","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.3025,0.365,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3775,0.38,0.38,0.2925,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2925,0.2875,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.285,0.28,0.285,0.29,0.2875,0.27]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397757","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-5000-1789385342118","question":"Above 5000","group_item_title":"Above 5000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 5000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1075,0.8925],"probability":0.1075,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:18.518000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-5000-1789385342118","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.1075,0.115,0.1125,0.115,0.11,0.1125,0.1175,0.5245,0.1025,0.5245,0.1125,0.105,0.11,0.11,0.105,0.12,0.5245,0.105,0.12,0.1075,0.1175,0.5245,0.1075,0.1175,0.1075,0.105,0.5245,0.1075]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397760","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-20000-1789385342136","question":"Above 20000","group_item_title":"Above 20000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 20000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0575,0.9425],"probability":0.0575,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:26.493000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-20000-1789385342136","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.0475,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0575,0.5,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575,0.0575]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397759","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-15000-1789385342130","question":"Above 15000","group_item_title":"Above 15000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 15000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:25.165000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.014499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-15000-1789385342130","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.045,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.5,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305,0.0305]},{"source":"limitless","id":"397761","event_id":"10014377","slug":"above-25000-1789385342145","question":"Above 25000","group_item_title":"Above 25000","description":"<p>If Tesla Inc reports above 25000 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://Tesla.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla</a>, <a href=\"https://ir.tesla.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla Investor Relations</a>, <a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Seeking Alpha</a>, <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The New York Times</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ap.org\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">the Associated Press</a>, <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg News</a>, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Reuters</a>, <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href=\"https://www.ft.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Financial Times</a>, and <a href=\"https://kalshi.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CNBC</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-14T11:30:31.964000Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Business","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:18.019305Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T17:46:16.289559Z","added_at":"2026-09-14T11:38:10.977269Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/above-25000-1789385342145","event_title":"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.5,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10014377","as_of":"2026-09-30T17:56:17.652801Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?\" — top market at 89% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}