{"source":"limitless","id":"10014665","ticker":"10014665","slug":"spanish-general-election-winner-1791204889139","title":"Spanish general election winner?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10014665/7cc2a733-a9d5-4b5a-ab92-01eb4802b251.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T12:58:48.081000Z","end_date":"2028-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"People's Party","top_outcome_probability":0.8775,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0024999999999999467,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:40.996549Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:38.967833Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:15.813348Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/spanish-general-election-winner-1791204889139","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"420842","event_id":"10014665","slug":"peoples-party-1791204889163","question":"People's Party","group_item_title":"People's Party","description":"<p>If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People&#39;s Party, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.</p><p><br></p><p>This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.interior.gob.es/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ministry of Interior</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.8775,0.1225],"probability":0.8775,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T12:58:39.944000Z","end_date":"2028-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0024999999999999467,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.404997Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.076766Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/peoples-party-1791204889163","event_title":"Spanish general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.875,0.875,0.875,0.875,0.875,0.865,0.865,0.8675,0.8675,0.8675,0.865,0.865,0.8775,0.8775,0.8775,0.8775,0.8775,0.8775,0.8775]},{"source":"limitless","id":"420841","event_id":"10014665","slug":"spanish-socialist-workers-party-1791204889149","question":"Spanish Socialist Workers' Party","group_item_title":"Spanish Socialist Workers' Party","description":"<p>If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers&#39; Party, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.</p><p><br></p><p>This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.interior.gob.es/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ministry of Interior</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0875,0.9125],"probability":0.0875,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T12:58:34.276000Z","end_date":"2028-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.404997Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.076766Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/spanish-socialist-workers-party-1791204889149","event_title":"Spanish general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.1025,0.1025,0.1025,0.1025,0.1025,0.0975,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.095,0.0875]},{"source":"limitless","id":"420844","event_id":"10014665","slug":"vox-1791204889179","question":"Vox","group_item_title":"Vox","description":"<p>If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.</p><p><br></p><p>This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.interior.gob.es/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Ministry of Interior</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T12:58:46.790000Z","end_date":"2028-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.007499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.404997Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.076766Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/vox-1791204889179","event_title":"Spanish general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.028,0.0455,0.0455,0.043,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355,0.0355]},{"source":"limitless","id":"420843","event_id":"10014665","slug":"sumar-1791204889171","question":"Sumar","group_item_title":"Sumar","description":"<p>If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.</p><p><br></p><p>This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.interior.gob.es/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ministry of Interior</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0105,0.9895],"probability":0.0105,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T12:58:45.492000Z","end_date":"2028-08-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.404997Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:49:39.076766Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/sumar-1791204889171","event_title":"Spanish general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0205,0.0155,0.0105]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10014665","as_of":"2026-10-06T02:51:08.285775Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Spanish general election winner?\" — top market at 88% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}