{"source":"limitless","id":"10014666","ticker":"10014666","slug":"prime-minister-of-spain-after-the-next-election-1791205285827","title":"Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?","description":null,"image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10014666/ba206baf-e6b2-4592-b4c9-5d73b9ebcc2a.png","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:02:45.556000Z","end_date":"2028-08-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Politics"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alberto Núñez Feijóo","top_outcome_probability":0.7825,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:14.303968Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.333741Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:15.813348Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/prime-minister-of-spain-after-the-next-election-1791205285827","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"420854","event_id":"10014666","slug":"alberto-nunez-feijoo-1791205285837","question":"Alberto Núñez Feijóo","group_item_title":"Alberto Núñez Feijóo","description":"<p>If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country&#39;s constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).</p><p><br></p><p>If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; immediately and No for all other strikes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.congreso.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Congress of Deputies</a> and <a href=\"https://www.casareal.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">King of Spain</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7825,0.2175],"probability":0.7825,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:02:41.525000Z","end_date":"2028-08-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.656119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.423353Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/alberto-nunez-feijoo-1791205285837","event_title":"Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?","chart_24h":[0.7575,0.7625,0.7625,0.7625,0.7625,0.765,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.7725,0.77,0.7675,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.7825,0.7825]},{"source":"limitless","id":"420855","event_id":"10014666","slug":"pedro-sanchez-1791205285850","question":"Pedro Sánchez","group_item_title":"Pedro Sánchez","description":"<p>If Pedro Sánchez becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country&#39;s constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).</p><p><br></p><p>If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; immediately and No for all other strikes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.congreso.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Congress of Deputies</a> and <a href=\"https://www.casareal.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">King of Spain</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:02:42.816000Z","end_date":"2028-08-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.022499999999999992,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.656119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.423353Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/pedro-sanchez-1791205285850","event_title":"Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?","chart_24h":[0.1875,0.1925,0.1925,0.195,0.1925,0.19,0.165,0.165,0.1625,0.1625,0.1675,0.1625,0.16,0.165,0.1625,0.1575,0.16,0.165,0.165]},{"source":"limitless","id":"420856","event_id":"10014666","slug":"santiago-abascal-1791205285862","question":"Santiago Abascal","group_item_title":"Santiago Abascal","description":"<p>If Santiago Abascal becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.</p><p><br></p><p>The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country&#39;s constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).</p><p><br></p><p>If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to &quot;No one&quot; immediately and No for all other strikes.</p><p>Outcome verified from <a href=\"https://www.congreso.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Congress of Deputies</a> and <a href=\"https://www.casareal.es\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">King of Spain</a>.</p>","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0675,0.9325],"probability":0.0675,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T13:02:44.127000Z","end_date":"2028-08-22T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0049999999999999906,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Spain"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.656119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T02:28:12.423353Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T13:15:16.250512Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/santiago-abascal-1791205285862","event_title":"Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?","chart_24h":[0.0725,0.0725,0.05,0.0575,0.055,0.055,0.0575,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675,0.0625,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.0675,0.0675,0.0675]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/10014666","as_of":"2026-10-06T02:48:21.800123Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?\" — top market at 78% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}