{"source":"limitless","id":"305718","ticker":null,"slug":"arb-up-or-down-daily-1783008000","title":"ARB Up or Down - Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Pyth ARB/USD on July 3, 2026, at 16:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth ARB/USD on July 2, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".</p><p><br></p><p>The price for Pyth ARB/USD captured on July 2, 2026, at 16:00 UTC was $0.07716871.</p><p><br></p><p>Resolution source: Pyth ARB/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.</p><p><br></p><p>If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 16:00 UTC on July 3, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp.</p><p><br></p><p>In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/116/0094bb04-cb24-479b-9722-c2cb279aa3c3.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/116/0094bb04-cb24-479b-9722-c2cb279aa3c3.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T16:00:25.416000Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1818.478,"volume_24hr":1818.478,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.77898406982422,"normalized_volume":30.007488250732422,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Daily","Lumy","Recurring"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.41,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"ARB Up or Down - Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.41,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.07450000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1818.478,"updated_at":"2026-07-03T06:40:26.026925Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T06:40:26.026925Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T16:04:43.134794Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/arb-up-or-down-daily-1783008000","chart_24h":[0.4845,0.4945,0.5445,0.5535,0.594,0.562,0.603,0.558,0.5495,0.4925,0.4725,0.5215,0.4935,0.4295,0.505,0.54,0.586,0.6395,0.5625,0.5885,0.585,0.6185],"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"305718","event_id":"305718","slug":"arb-up-or-down-daily-1783008000","question":"ARB Up or Down - Daily","group_item_title":"ARB Up or Down - Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the price for Pyth ARB/USD on July 3, 2026, at 16:00 UTC is strictly higher than the price for Pyth ARB/USD on July 2, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"Down\".</p><p><br></p><p>The price for Pyth ARB/USD captured on July 2, 2026, at 16:00 UTC was $0.07716871.</p><p><br></p><p>Resolution source: Pyth ARB/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.</p><p><br></p><p>If Pyth is briefly missing data at exactly 16:00 UTC on July 3, 2026, the next available Pyth price within 5 seconds will be used for the affected timestamp.</p><p><br></p><p>In the rare event of a longer Pyth outage, the market will be resolved manually by the Limitless team using the closest available Pyth price.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/116/0094bb04-cb24-479b-9722-c2cb279aa3c3.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/116/0094bb04-cb24-479b-9722-c2cb279aa3c3.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.59],"probability":0.41,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-02T16:00:25.416000Z","end_date":"2026-07-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1818.478,"volume_24hr":1818.478,"prob_24h_change":-0.07450000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1818.478,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.77898406982422,"normalized_volume":30.007488250732422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-03T06:40:28.140716Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-03T06:40:13.455960Z","added_at":"2026-07-02T16:04:43.134794Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/arb-up-or-down-daily-1783008000","event_title":"ARB Up or Down - Daily","chart_24h":[0.4845,0.4945,0.5445,0.5535,0.594,0.562,0.603,0.558,0.5495,0.4925,0.4725,0.5215,0.4935,0.4295,0.505,0.54,0.586,0.6395,0.5625,0.5885,0.585,0.6185]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/305718","as_of":"2026-07-03T06:58:37.060849Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"ARB Up or Down - Daily\" — top market at 41% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}