{"source":"limitless","id":"323449","ticker":null,"slug":"argentina-to-win-wc-with-a-penalty-opponent-red-card-or-var-in-sffin-1784026555431","title":"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin","description":"<p>This market will resolve to \"YES\" if both of the following conditions are met:</p><ol><li>Argentina wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, as confirmed by the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> tournament page.</li><li>At least one of the following referee decisions occurs during regular time or extra time in Argentina's semifinal (vs England, July 15, 2026) or final (July 19, 2026, if Argentina advances):</li></ol><ul><li>Argentina's opponent receives a red card (straight red or second yellow card resulting in dismissal), as recorded in the Lineup section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game.</li><li>A goal by Argentina's opponent is disallowed following a VAR review, as shown in the Live Blog section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game, indicated by an entry such as \"VAR — Goal disallowed\" or equivalent wording.</li><li>Argentina scores a penalty kick, as recorded in the Match Summary section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game.</li></ul><p>Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"NO.\"</p><p>Penalty shootouts do not count.</p><p>If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or not completed by August 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to \"NO.\"</p><p>If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the relevant match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/323449/e5aa1953-848e-4228-a63c-866d62d9b70a.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/323449/e5aa1953-848e-4228-a63c-866d62d9b70a.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T10:57:01.530000Z","end_date":"2026-07-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6239.340397,"volume_24hr":5874.513102,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.21176528930664,"normalized_volume":37.356170654296875,"liquidity":50.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":["Football","control_game"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin","top_outcome_probability":null,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":5874.513102,"updated_at":"2026-07-15T12:38:05.113429Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T12:38:05.113429Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T11:14:06.098243Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/argentina-to-win-wc-with-a-penalty-opponent-red-card-or-var-in-sffin-1784026555431","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"323449","event_id":"323449","slug":"argentina-to-win-wc-with-a-penalty-opponent-red-card-or-var-in-sffin-1784026555431","question":"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin","group_item_title":"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin","description":"<p>This market will resolve to \"YES\" if both of the following conditions are met:</p><ol><li>Argentina wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, as confirmed by the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> tournament page.</li><li>At least one of the following referee decisions occurs during regular time or extra time in Argentina's semifinal (vs England, July 15, 2026) or final (July 19, 2026, if Argentina advances):</li></ol><ul><li>Argentina's opponent receives a red card (straight red or second yellow card resulting in dismissal), as recorded in the Lineup section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game.</li><li>A goal by Argentina's opponent is disallowed following a VAR review, as shown in the Live Blog section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game, indicated by an entry such as \"VAR — Goal disallowed\" or equivalent wording.</li><li>Argentina scores a penalty kick, as recorded in the Match Summary section of the official <a href=\"http://FIFA.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">FIFA.com</a> match report for the relevant game.</li></ul><p>Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"NO.\"</p><p>Penalty shootouts do not count.</p><p>If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or not completed by August 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to \"NO.\"</p><p>If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the relevant match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/323449/e5aa1953-848e-4228-a63c-866d62d9b70a.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/323449/e5aa1953-848e-4228-a63c-866d62d9b70a.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-14T10:57:01.530000Z","end_date":"2026-07-20T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6239.340397,"volume_24hr":5874.513102,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":5874.513102,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.21176528930664,"normalized_volume":37.356170654296875,"liquidity":50.0,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-15T12:38:17.337624Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-15T12:37:54.849034Z","added_at":"2026-07-14T11:14:06.098243Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/argentina-to-win-wc-with-a-penalty-opponent-red-card-or-var-in-sffin-1784026555431","event_title":"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/323449","as_of":"2026-07-15T12:47:37.861246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin\" — top market at 0% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}