This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/373857/713094b3-85a9-409f-80a5-1e361c721549.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/373857/713094b3-85a9-409f-80a5-1e361c721549.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T12:02:08.651000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["Limitless","Politics"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-26T23:10:21.275635Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T23:10:21.275635Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T12:05:41.024581Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027-1787659328650","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5],"markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"373857","event_id":"373857","slug":"will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027-1787659328650","question":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","group_item_title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/373857/713094b3-85a9-409f-80a5-1e361c721549.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/markets-logo/373857/713094b3-85a9-409f-80a5-1e361c721549.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-25T12:02:08.651000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-08-26T23:10:15.346254Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-26T23:10:12.186657Z","added_at":"2026-08-25T12:05:41.024581Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027-1787659328650","event_title":"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/373857","as_of":"2026-08-26T23:27:54.871226Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?\" — top market at 50% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}