{"source":"limitless","id":"416334","ticker":null,"slug":"carlos-alcaraz-vs-matteo-arnaldi-1790851584239","title":"Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi","description":"This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.\nThis market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.\nThis market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Carlos Alcaraz.\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances 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resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.\nThis market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Carlos Alcaraz.\nIf the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.\nIf the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.\nIf the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/property-options/icons/255d5ada-3ec2-4eab-b723-f4a6854d609f/f717acd1-c988-4d7e-bd29-75115cae173a.png","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/property-options/icons/255d5ada-3ec2-4eab-b723-f4a6854d609f/f717acd1-c988-4d7e-bd29-75115cae173a.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.925,0.075],"probability":0.925,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T10:46:24.232000Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T04:03:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9152.43,"volume_24hr":9152.43,"prob_24h_change":-0.01749999999999996,"volume_24h_change":9152.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":92.34803771972656,"normalized_volume":52.9471435546875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T01:15:52.221318Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T01:15:45.352740Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T10:59:16.458698Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/carlos-alcaraz-vs-matteo-arnaldi-1790851584239","event_title":"Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi","chart_24h":[0.9425,0.9425,0.9425,0.94,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.945,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.9175,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.915,0.5,0.5,0.92,0.92,0.9175,0.925,0.925,0.925,0.925,0.925]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/416334","as_of":"2026-10-03T01:36:03.610148Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi\" — top market at 92% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}