{"source":"limitless","id":"417529","ticker":null,"slug":"btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1790946319396","title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to &quot;Up&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 &#39;26 is lower than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve to &quot;Down&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 &#39;26 is higher than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>If the final &quot;Close&quot; price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT &quot;Close&quot; prices currently available at <a href=\"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT</a> with &quot;1m&quot; and &quot;Candles&quot; selected on the top bar.</p><p><br></p><p>Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:01:00.977000Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1261.794142,"volume_24hr":1229.1783010000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":57.77593231201172,"normalized_volume":32.449012756347656,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Lumy","Pareto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.097,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"BTC Up or Down Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.097,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.30800000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1214.9110830000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-03T13:01:45.773516Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T13:01:45.773516Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:07:21.225701Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1790946319396","chart_24h":[0.405,0.3605,0.205,0.1755,0.1255,0.135,0.1355,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.105,0.0855,0.145,0.125,0.125,0.1005,0.095,0.095,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.06,0.0455,0.0545,0.055,0.0455,0.046,0.0515,0.06,0.1055],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"417529","event_id":"417529","slug":"btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1790946319396","question":"BTC Up or Down Daily","group_item_title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to &quot;Up&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 &#39;26 is lower than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve to &quot;Down&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 &#39;26 is higher than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>If the final &quot;Close&quot; price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT &quot;Close&quot; prices currently available at <a href=\"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT</a> with &quot;1m&quot; and &quot;Candles&quot; selected on the top bar.</p><p><br></p><p>Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.097,0.903],"probability":0.097,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:01:00.977000Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1261.794142,"volume_24hr":1229.1783010000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.30800000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1214.9110830000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":60.206668853759766,"normalized_volume":32.449012756347656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T13:01:35.332721Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T13:01:25.689508Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:07:21.225701Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1790946319396","event_title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","chart_24h":[0.405,0.3605,0.205,0.1755,0.1255,0.135,0.1355,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.105,0.0855,0.145,0.125,0.125,0.1005,0.095,0.095,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.06,0.0455,0.0545,0.055,0.0455,0.046,0.0515,0.06,0.1055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/417529","as_of":"2026-10-03T13:21:13.957137Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"BTC Up or Down Daily\" — top market at 10% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}