{"source":"limitless","id":"419646","ticker":null,"slug":"btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1791119114864","title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to &quot;Up&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 &#39;26 is lower than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve to &quot;Down&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 &#39;26 is higher than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>If the final &quot;Close&quot; price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT &quot;Close&quot; prices currently available at <a href=\"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT</a> with &quot;1m&quot; and &quot;Candles&quot; selected on the top bar.</p><p><br></p><p>Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T16:01:00.421000Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1489.635031,"volume_24hr":1380.454333,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":73.36305236816406,"normalized_volume":33.973995208740234,"liquidity":0.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":["Lumy","Pareto"],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.7815,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"BTC Up or Down Daily","top_outcome_probability":0.7815,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.2865,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1376.687855,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T15:04:27.089359Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T15:04:27.089359Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T16:13:52.527675Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1791119114864","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5205,0.515,0.5155,0.5395,0.5505,0.665,0.685,0.7845,0.7995,0.8595,0.8045,0.8505,0.8645,0.8695,0.863,0.817,0.715,0.615,0.685,0.7335,0.851,0.847,0.8845,0.775,0.8495,0.865,0.898,0.8905,0.836,0.8925,0.96,0.7815],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"limitless","id":"419646","event_id":"419646","slug":"btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1791119114864","question":"BTC Up or Down Daily","group_item_title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","description":"<p>This market will resolve to &quot;Up&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 &#39;26 is lower than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve to &quot;Down&quot; if the &quot;Close&quot; price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 &#39;26 is higher than the final &quot;Close&quot; price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 &#39;26.</p><p><br></p><p>If the final &quot;Close&quot; price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT &quot;Close&quot; prices currently available at <a href=\"https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT</a> with &quot;1m&quot; and &quot;Candles&quot; selected on the top bar.</p><p><br></p><p>Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.</p>","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","icon":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/price-oracles/57/1546e81a-9e31-4292-b36c-b54e9443e4b1.svg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.7815,0.2185],"probability":0.7815,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T16:01:00.421000Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1489.635031,"volume_24hr":1380.454333,"prob_24h_change":0.2865,"volume_24h_change":1376.687855,"normalized_vol_24hr":81.07595825195312,"normalized_volume":33.973995208740234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T15:04:12.978783Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T15:03:33.530064Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T16:13:52.527675Z","url":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/btc-up-or-down-daily-p-1791119114864","event_title":"BTC Up or Down Daily","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5205,0.515,0.5155,0.5395,0.5505,0.665,0.685,0.7845,0.7995,0.8595,0.8045,0.8505,0.8645,0.8695,0.863,0.817,0.715,0.615,0.685,0.7335,0.851,0.847,0.8845,0.775,0.8495,0.865,0.898,0.8905,0.836,0.8925,0.96,0.7815]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/limitless/419646","as_of":"2026-10-05T15:19:40.555143Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Limitless): \"BTC Up or Down Daily\" — top market at 78% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}