{"source":"manifold","id":"0661R5puUdQvnsGzEjPA","ticker":null,"slug":"will-there-be-a-federal-law-legaliz","title":"Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?","description":"This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that all 50 states must respect the right to an abortion within some time window (eg the first trimester). A law only guaranteeing the right to certain subsets of women (eg those whose health is in danger) will not count. This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-05-09T23:28:42.011000Z","end_date":"2027-05-10T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5964.305420922905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.372793197631836,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.033817,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?","top_outcome_probability":0.033817,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/will-there-be-a-federal-law-legaliz","chart_24h":[0.033817,0.033817],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0661R5puUdQvnsGzEjPA","event_id":"0661R5puUdQvnsGzEjPA","slug":"will-there-be-a-federal-law-legaliz","question":"Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market resolves to YES if, by 5/9/2027, the federal government passes a law saying that all 50 states must respect the right to an abortion within some time window (eg the first trimester). A law only guaranteeing the right to certain subsets of women (eg those whose health is in danger) will not count. This market resolves to YES immediately after this happens, even if the law is later repealed or struck down.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033817,0.966183],"probability":0.033817,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-05-09T23:28:42.011000Z","end_date":"2027-05-10T06:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5964.305420922905,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.372793197631836,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T19:34:14.711987Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/will-there-be-a-federal-law-legaliz","event_title":"Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?","chart_24h":[0.033817,0.033817]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/0661R5puUdQvnsGzEjPA","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:52:15.636054Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}