{"source":"manifold","id":"0RQ6GTuWBLDwEs0SEtim","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated-to","title":"Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?","description":"This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029.\n\nSep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?\n\nUpdate 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply:\n\nAny sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market.\n\nTemporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-21T10:24:34.570000Z","end_date":"2029-01-31T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24428.755674395306,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.8045654296875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.032071,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?","top_outcome_probability":0.032071,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T17:03:13.549602Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T17:03:13.549602Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ansel/will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated-to","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0RQ6GTuWBLDwEs0SEtim","event_id":"0RQ6GTuWBLDwEs0SEtim","slug":"will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated-to","question":"Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029.\n\nSep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?\n\nUpdate 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply:\n\nAny sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market.\n\nTemporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.032071,0.967929],"probability":0.032071,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-21T10:24:34.570000Z","end_date":"2029-01-31T15:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24428.755674395306,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.8045654296875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T17:02:32.138465Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ansel/will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated-to","event_title":"Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/0RQ6GTuWBLDwEs0SEtim","as_of":"2026-09-09T01:19:47.954313Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}