{"source":"manifold","id":"0RtEi94fUZHRpdHBX6ri","ticker":null,"slug":"will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to","title":"Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?","description":"This question resolves Yes if GiveWell recommends a grant to support breastfeeding promotion.\n\nThis question will resolve No otherwise.\n\nThis question resolves according to GiveWell's spreadsheet here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0 or equivalent or a public statement.\n\nNathan reserves the right to edit this question within the spirit of the question to make the information more useful to GiveWell in the first 3 months, though will pay anyone who feels they lost out. After that, he will only clarify resolution cases. ","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-23T18:24:53.771000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27957.124801650658,"volume_24hr":18554.862906289905,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":77.98548889160156,"normalized_volume":38.70646286010742,"liquidity":5050.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Health","Business"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.958678,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.958678,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.00954300000000008,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2554.8629062899054,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T21:51:44.489041Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T21:51:44.489041Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to","chart_24h":[0.949135,0.958678],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0RtEi94fUZHRpdHBX6ri","event_id":"0RtEi94fUZHRpdHBX6ri","slug":"will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to","question":"Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This question resolves Yes if GiveWell recommends a grant to support breastfeeding promotion.\n\nThis question will resolve No otherwise.\n\nThis question resolves according to GiveWell's spreadsheet here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0 or equivalent or a public statement.\n\nNathan reserves the right to edit this question within the spirit of the question to make the information more useful to GiveWell in the first 3 months, though will pay anyone who feels they lost out. After that, he will only clarify resolution cases. ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.958678,0.041322],"probability":0.958678,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-08-23T18:24:53.771000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":27957.124801650658,"volume_24hr":18554.862906289905,"prob_24h_change":0.00954300000000008,"volume_24h_change":2554.8629062899054,"normalized_vol_24hr":85.246826171875,"normalized_volume":38.70646286010742,"liquidity":5050.0,"categories":["Health","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T21:50:34.180206Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T21:50:34.180206Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to","event_title":"Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?","chart_24h":[0.949135,0.958678]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/0RtEi94fUZHRpdHBX6ri","as_of":"2026-09-29T02:56:42.211624Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?\" — top market at 96% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}