{"source":"manifold","id":"0hUonx5lxYt3ZuIMyQU8","ticker":null,"slug":"will-joe-biden-survive-until-inaugu","title":"Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","description":"Resolves yes if Joe Biden is alive on January 20th, 2029\n\nApr 25, 6:37pm: Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029 → Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FWQxN93WgUO.png?alt=media&token=0172763d-a0fd-4da9-8c5c-38c11888b331","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-25T23:37:33.021000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12520.92064518324,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.419307708740234,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.682152,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","top_outcome_probability":0.682152,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T22:48:23.079890Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T22:48:23.079890Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/PapiPalooza/will-joe-biden-survive-until-inaugu","chart_24h":[0.682152,0.682152],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0hUonx5lxYt3ZuIMyQU8","event_id":"0hUonx5lxYt3ZuIMyQU8","slug":"will-joe-biden-survive-until-inaugu","question":"Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves yes if Joe Biden is alive on January 20th, 2029\n\nApr 25, 6:37pm: Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029 → Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FWQxN93WgUO.png?alt=media&token=0172763d-a0fd-4da9-8c5c-38c11888b331","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.682152,0.317848],"probability":0.682152,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-25T23:37:33.021000Z","end_date":"2029-01-20T18:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12520.92064518324,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.419307708740234,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:13:09.139629Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T22:47:30.081661Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/PapiPalooza/will-joe-biden-survive-until-inaugu","event_title":"Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?","chart_24h":[0.682152,0.682152]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/0hUonx5lxYt3ZuIMyQU8","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:31:03.211877Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029?\" — top market at 68% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}