{"source":"manifold","id":"0pEEXcO6U7Kx6u9AXFq7","ticker":null,"slug":"will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu-cf09e6867d9c","title":"Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","description":"Prediction #4 in my \"Great Logging Off\" market\n\n\nMeta-market:\nhttps://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2\n\nBlog post:\nhttps://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off\n\nThis resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:\n\nThere is EITHER a measurable and significant increase in offline socialization and traditional social face-to-face institutions (e.g., churches, bowling leagues, heck even going to bars and dance halls counts), OR, a significant increase in the intensity and number of hours of attendance of offline social institutions by those currently attending, even if overal attendance doesn't rise.\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FjReddVG4s_.png?alt=media&token=8d672439-daab-4e88-bfdf-85177b5e2836","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-27T18:13:35.285000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3010.0834821703934,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.085657119750977,"liquidity":1190.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.395576,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","top_outcome_probability":0.395576,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu-cf09e6867d9c","chart_24h":[0.395576,0.395576],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"0pEEXcO6U7Kx6u9AXFq7","event_id":"0pEEXcO6U7Kx6u9AXFq7","slug":"will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu-cf09e6867d9c","question":"Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Prediction #4 in my \"Great Logging Off\" market\n\n\nMeta-market:\nhttps://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2\n\nBlog post:\nhttps://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off\n\nThis resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion:\n\nThere is EITHER a measurable and significant increase in offline socialization and traditional social face-to-face institutions (e.g., churches, bowling leagues, heck even going to bars and dance halls counts), OR, a significant increase in the intensity and number of hours of attendance of offline social institutions by those currently attending, even if overal attendance doesn't rise.\n\nDec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FjReddVG4s_.png?alt=media&token=8d672439-daab-4e88-bfdf-85177b5e2836","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.395576,0.604424],"probability":0.395576,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2022-12-27T18:13:35.285000Z","end_date":"2028-01-01T05:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3010.0834821703934,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.085657119750977,"liquidity":1190.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-we-see-an-increased-premium-pu-cf09e6867d9c","event_title":"Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?","chart_24h":[0.395576,0.395576]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/0pEEXcO6U7Kx6u9AXFq7","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:29:34.231101Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?\" — top market at 40% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}