{"source":"manifold","id":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","ticker":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","slug":"who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","title":"Who will be the next James Bond?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T01:13:09.849000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23079.864217161437,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":37.882266998291016,"liquidity":1500.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":["movies","cinema"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.877358,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-27T05:10:29.848461Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-27T05:10:29.848461Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"8e8c4f87d7a1","event_id":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.877358,0.122642],"probability":0.877358,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T01:13:09.850000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3144.9245774486963,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.344030380249023,"liquidity":508.8675134594813,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T07:26:18.105408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T07:24:43.228198Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","event_title":"Who will be the next James Bond?","chart_24h":[0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358,0.877358]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9644f1989fb9","event_id":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","slug":null,"question":"Aaron Taylor-Johnson","group_item_title":"Aaron Taylor-Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.103137,0.896863],"probability":0.103137,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T01:13:09.850000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1533.8058967681395,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.198610305786133,"liquidity":448.8675134594813,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T07:26:18.105408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T07:24:43.228198Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","event_title":"Who will be the next James Bond?","chart_24h":[0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137,0.103137]},{"source":"manifold","id":"81284812c358","event_id":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","slug":null,"question":"Tom Hardy","group_item_title":"Tom Hardy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T01:13:09.850000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":6.125264287191628,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":1.4471406936645508,"liquidity":48.86751345948129,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T07:26:18.105408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T07:24:43.228198Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","event_title":"Who will be the next James Bond?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"manifold","id":"db2348646011","event_id":"16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","slug":null,"question":"Idris Elba","group_item_title":"Idris Elba","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.009506,0.990494],"probability":0.009506,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-10-17T01:13:09.850000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":341.31908549016435,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.781338691711426,"liquidity":108.86751345948129,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T07:26:18.105408Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T07:24:43.228198Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond","event_title":"Who will be the next James Bond?","chart_24h":[0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506,0.009506]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/16b522Zs0Z1UPL94MF2x","as_of":"2026-06-16T07:40:48.144700Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will be the next James Bond?\" — top market at 88% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}