{"source":"manifold","id":"1YvYyyeuvzPy7fOrjnw7","ticker":"1YvYyyeuvzPy7fOrjnw7","slug":"who-will-outlive-joe-biden-or-donal","title":"Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?","description":"This question will resolve to the person that stays with us (alive) till later date, regardless of their age.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-17T10:24:26.143000Z","end_date":"2050-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":32169.468480834024,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.39252471923828,"liquidity":2225.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","World"],"tags":["us-politics","the-life-of-biden","death-markets"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Donald Trump","top_outcome_probability":0.684908,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-17T21:47:11.295235Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-17T21:47:11.295235Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/who-will-outlive-joe-biden-or-donal","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"baccb92a8cbc","event_id":"1YvYyyeuvzPy7fOrjnw7","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump","group_item_title":"Donald Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.684908,0.315092],"probability":0.684908,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-17T10:24:26.144000Z","end_date":"2050-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":151.50282406791163,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.476670265197754,"liquidity":1080.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:38:22.939863Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:36:50.219714Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/who-will-outlive-joe-biden-or-donal","event_title":"Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?","chart_24h":[0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908,0.684908]},{"source":"manifold","id":"a53dde1c1914","event_id":"1YvYyyeuvzPy7fOrjnw7","slug":null,"question":"Joe Biden","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.315092,0.684908],"probability":0.315092,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-09-17T10:24:26.144000Z","end_date":"2050-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5453.4695452330825,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.76044464111328,"liquidity":1145.0,"categories":["Politics","World"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T18:38:22.939863Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T18:36:50.219714Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/itsTomekK/who-will-outlive-joe-biden-or-donal","event_title":"Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?","chart_24h":[0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092,0.315092]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/1YvYyyeuvzPy7fOrjnw7","as_of":"2026-07-25T18:53:34.261819Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Who will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?\" — top market at 68% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}