{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/26lct0PyOE","as_of":"2026-10-30T22:27:20.490770Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?\" — \"Wins by 6.000% to 8.999%\" leads at 24% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-30 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/26lct0PyOE","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20"},"source":"manifold","id":"26lct0PyOE","ticker":"26lct0PyOE","slug":"abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","description":"Resolves according to Abdul el sayeds winning/losing margin in 2026 us senate election in Michigan in 2026\n\n","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.575000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":64859.329697021145,"volume_24hr":2998.219087860279,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.536190032958984,"normalized_volume":45.14616394042969,"liquidity":2000.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["2026-midterms","us-politics","politics-default","2026-us-congressional-elections","2026-us-election"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Wins by 6.000% to 8.999%","top_outcome_probability":0.244712,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.012866000000000016,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.016357Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.016357Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:09.944777Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","chart_24h":[3267.669344930637,2830.6210234789773,2975.1756617361984],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"8EthQg08Pn","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"Wins by 6.000% to 8.999%","group_item_title":"Wins by 6.000% to 8.999%","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.244712,0.755288],"probability":0.244712,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":21918.247526602347,"volume_24hr":4.55465659877882,"prob_24h_change":0.012866000000000016,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.353832483291626,"normalized_volume":36.738216400146484,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:12.877199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.231846,0.23504,0.240029]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cgcUESyE28","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"Wins by 3.000% to 5.999%","group_item_title":"Wins by 3.000% to 5.999%","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.232339,0.767661],"probability":0.232339,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6886.8683276364345,"volume_24hr":122.06456784231068,"prob_24h_change":-0.01766100000000001,"volume_24h_change":76.53890336382028,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.5443058013916,"normalized_volume":28.721195220947266,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:12.877199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.24,0.24]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yNEUutqO02","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"Wins by 0% to 2.999%","group_item_title":"Wins by 0% to 2.999%","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5847.054087687312,"volume_24hr":63.461078294622894,"prob_24h_change":-0.002822999999999992,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.895773887634277,"normalized_volume":27.667327880859375,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:12.877199Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.232823,0.235978,0.232806]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gZS82lIE0Z","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"loses by 0% to 2.999%","group_item_title":"loses by 0% to 2.999%","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.132244,0.867756],"probability":0.132244,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1175.8647937133076,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0035209999999999964,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.384662628173828,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.135765,0.137499,0.136636]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tOU6ySsluE","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"Wins by 9.000% or more","group_item_title":"Wins by 9.000% or more","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":18003.263818067793,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":0.012543000000000012,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.30604934692383,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.087457,0.088684,0.088073]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hlPZ9PZpsR","event_id":"26lct0PyOE","slug":null,"question":"Loses by 3.000% or more","group_item_title":"Loses by 3.000% or more","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.060705,0.939295],"probability":0.060705,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-05T23:42:38.576000Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11028.031143314012,"volume_24hr":null,"prob_24h_change":-0.0014039999999999955,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.86261749267578,"liquidity":223.60679774997897,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T22:15:08.313395Z","added_at":"2026-10-30T20:19:10.183957Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/Jack1/abdul-el-sayed-winning-margin-in-20","event_title":"Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?","chart_24h":[0.062109,0.0628,0.062457]}]}