{"source":"manifold","id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","ticker":null,"slug":"will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","title":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","description":"Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh\n\nAny of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery.\n\nSource for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-28T10:19:42.714000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34209.514291893276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.917816162109375,"liquidity":1835.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.028555,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","top_outcome_probability":0.028555,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","chart_24h":[0.028555,0.028555],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","event_id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","slug":"will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","question":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh\n\nAny of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery.\n\nSource for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028555,0.971445],"probability":0.028555,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-28T10:19:42.714000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34209.514291893276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.917816162109375,"liquidity":1835.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","event_title":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","chart_24h":[0.028555,0.028555]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:49:00.776329Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?\" — top market at 3% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}