{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","as_of":"2026-11-03T01:37:05.260387Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?\" — 3% as of 2026-06-03 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2"},"source":"manifold","id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","ticker":null,"slug":"will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","title":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","description":"Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh\n\nAny of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery.\n\nSource for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-28T10:19:42.714000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34209.514291893276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.080810546875,"liquidity":1835.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.028555,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","top_outcome_probability":0.028555,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","event_id":"2JkBQcuBSjEAaB15zTLT","slug":"will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","question":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Sukbae Lee, Ji-Hoon Kim, Young-Wan Kwon, Hyun-Tak Kim, Sungyeon Im, SooMin An, Keun Ho Auh\n\nAny of them win nobel prize before January 1st, 2034. That's a generous 10 years from the time of their claimed discovery.\n\nSource for resolution is https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/\n\n[link preview]","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.028555,0.971445],"probability":0.028555,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-07-28T10:19:42.714000Z","end_date":"2033-12-31T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":34209.514291893276,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":40.080810546875,"liquidity":1835.0,"categories":["Science and Technology","Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-29T10:19:15.387484Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/VitorBosshard/will-any-of-the-seven-lk99-supercon-01a75360dea2","event_title":"Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?","chart_24h":null}]}