{"source":"manifold","id":"2Ntu5qqQth","ticker":null,"slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-killed-by","title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T08:51:02.715000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7393.952895061849,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.792449951171875,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["World"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.279923,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.279923,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-28T01:54:50.658572Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T01:54:50.658572Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZenSpam/will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-killed-by","chart_24h":[0.279923,0.279923],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2Ntu5qqQth","event_id":"2Ntu5qqQth","slug":"will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-killed-by","question":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.279923,0.720077],"probability":0.279923,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-03-04T08:51:02.715000Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7393.952895061849,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.792449951171875,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["World"],"countries":["United States","Israel","Iran"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T12:54:46.636062Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T01:53:55.676144Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/ZenSpam/will-mojtaba-khamenei-be-killed-by","event_title":"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.279923,0.279923]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2Ntu5qqQth","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:33:34.800849Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Mojtaba Khamenei be killed by US/Israeli forces in 2026?\" — top market at 28% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}