{"source":"manifold","id":"2al9KWzdLGSXqsratnCN","ticker":null,"slug":"tesla-based-uberlike-service-is-ava","title":"Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030","description":"Elon Musk recently spoke about a possible idea that Tesla owners would be able to allow their cars to be used for a Tesla-run Uber-like service with completely autonomous driving.\n\nIf there is a city in the US where members of the public can call this type of service for rides, and the cars are owned by members of the public, before 2030, this resolves YES.\n\nEdit 5/2024 to clarify this is about whether the owners can send their cars out to be part of the fleet ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FIZ0LFt1AvL.png?alt=media&token=7767cfe4-b814-409f-b699-079ecb024f8c","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-17T02:55:00.530000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2511.5133744059513,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.00935173034668,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.867591,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030","top_outcome_probability":0.867591,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ernie/tesla-based-uberlike-service-is-ava","chart_24h":[0.867591,0.867591],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2al9KWzdLGSXqsratnCN","event_id":"2al9KWzdLGSXqsratnCN","slug":"tesla-based-uberlike-service-is-ava","question":"Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030","group_item_title":null,"description":"Elon Musk recently spoke about a possible idea that Tesla owners would be able to allow their cars to be used for a Tesla-run Uber-like service with completely autonomous driving.\n\nIf there is a city in the US where members of the public can call this type of service for rides, and the cars are owned by members of the public, before 2030, this resolves YES.\n\nEdit 5/2024 to clarify this is about whether the owners can send their cars out to be part of the fleet ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FIZ0LFt1AvL.png?alt=media&token=7767cfe4-b814-409f-b699-079ecb024f8c","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.867591,0.132409],"probability":0.867591,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-05-17T02:55:00.530000Z","end_date":"2030-01-02T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2511.5133744059513,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.00935173034668,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Business","Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:29:58.281893Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ernie/tesla-based-uberlike-service-is-ava","event_title":"Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030","chart_24h":[0.867591,0.867591]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2al9KWzdLGSXqsratnCN","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:30:40.734189Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030\" — top market at 87% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}