{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2lCSI9SAL2","as_of":"2026-11-03T23:37:29.381553Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?\" — 92% as of 2026-11-01 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2lCSI9SAL2","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-polymarket-be-right-about-ever"},"source":"manifold","id":"2lCSI9SAL2","ticker":null,"slug":"will-polymarket-be-right-about-ever","title":"Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?","description":"Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....\n\nI will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.\n\nResolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.\n\nReference Market:\nhttps://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T16:06:31.329000Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11746.969553866356,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.29258346557617,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.919911,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?","top_outcome_probability":0.919911,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-11-01T03:37:02.037188Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T03:37:02.037188Z","added_at":"2026-10-25T12:47:28.412884Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-polymarket-be-right-about-ever","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2lCSI9SAL2","event_id":"2lCSI9SAL2","slug":"will-polymarket-be-right-about-ever","question":"Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....\n\nI will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.\n\nResolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.\n\nReference Market:\nhttps://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.919911,0.080089],"probability":0.919911,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-07T16:06:31.329000Z","end_date":"2026-12-09T19:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11746.969553866356,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":32.29258346557617,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-01T03:36:06.532546Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-01T03:36:06.532546Z","added_at":"2026-10-25T12:47:28.412884Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-polymarket-be-right-about-ever","event_title":"Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?","chart_24h":null}]}