{"source":"manifold","id":"2lXoHAqwhrxHuacNI92u","ticker":null,"slug":"will-i-live-to-be-100-years-old","title":"Will I live to be 100 years old?","description":"I'm currently 28 years old. I have no major health issues or family history of health issues, other than one relative's case of diabetes. I drive a few times a week and generally don't participate in dangerous activities.\n\nI love my life and want to stay alive for as long as I'm relatively healthy / enjoying it. I could see myself wanting to live for thousands of years if I could. I do not intend to continue living if I foresee my utility being net negative for the foreseeable future.\n\nMarket resolves \"n/a\" if I die as a result of intentional market manipulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-19T05:57:52.805000Z","end_date":"2095-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11935.93714367071,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.04428482055664,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Health"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.259586,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will I live to be 100 years old?","top_outcome_probability":0.259586,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-20T01:57:36.135969Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T01:57:36.135969Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-live-to-be-100-years-old","chart_24h":[0.259586,0.259586],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"2lXoHAqwhrxHuacNI92u","event_id":"2lXoHAqwhrxHuacNI92u","slug":"will-i-live-to-be-100-years-old","question":"Will I live to be 100 years old?","group_item_title":null,"description":"I'm currently 28 years old. I have no major health issues or family history of health issues, other than one relative's case of diabetes. I drive a few times a week and generally don't participate in dangerous activities.\n\nI love my life and want to stay alive for as long as I'm relatively healthy / enjoying it. I could see myself wanting to live for thousands of years if I could. I do not intend to continue living if I foresee my utility being net negative for the foreseeable future.\n\nMarket resolves \"n/a\" if I die as a result of intentional market manipulation.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.259586,0.740414],"probability":0.259586,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-03-19T05:57:52.805000Z","end_date":"2095-01-01T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11935.93714367071,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.04428482055664,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Health"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T05:28:08.889800Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T01:56:44.692622Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/will-i-live-to-be-100-years-old","event_title":"Will I live to be 100 years old?","chart_24h":[0.259586,0.259586]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/2lXoHAqwhrxHuacNI92u","as_of":"2026-07-25T19:13:58.797177Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will I live to be 100 years old?\" — top market at 26% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}