{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/36n8hwv2y2","as_of":"2026-10-24T03:57:20.733425Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?\" — 35 markets; highest \"Alabama\" at 99% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/36n8hwv2y2","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow"},"source":"manifold","id":"36n8hwv2y2","ticker":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":"will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","description":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections\n\nUpdate 2025-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - An independent candidate who caucuses with the Republican party will not count as a Republican for the purposes of this market's resolution.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/Ibozz91/76rxisi40d.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":183381.74037171417,"volume_24hr":299.4995043934687,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.136316299438477,"normalized_volume":54.03173065185547,"liquidity":3500.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":["us-politics","politics-default","2026-us-election","2026-us-congressional-elections"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alabama","top_outcome_probability":0.987953,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:49:57.372687Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:49:57.372687Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","chart_24h":[1244.0742848734208,1444.536604540792,1441.269845994675,1324.973812463747,1103.6090983956917,1046.2436329552809,994.5494699590083,994.1195336374036,990.2329597781794,946.2066177849464,923.8347806785468,877.5863953200476,666.8889350645175,534.9662196739466,521.145022935215,498.0245688941806,482.6094459853862,438.33701677608127,426.1324272027397,421.0271502223064,430.7681239733048,357.67620204054117,353.6181335903367,313.49976449559546,303.5118731441746,299.4995043934687],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":35,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"6h1kdiir18","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"South Carolina","group_item_title":"South Carolina","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.79,0.21],"probability":0.79,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13566.650856656179,"volume_24hr":24.24640967466621,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":14.430676657044387,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.97100830078125,"normalized_volume":33.30808639526367,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.79]},{"source":"manifold","id":"63p2luarhs","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Nebraska","group_item_title":"Nebraska","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8930.106775689543,"volume_24hr":17.046112504945995,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":8.873244344391424,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.005048751831055,"normalized_volume":30.445016860961914,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nmt9u1jmmq","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Iowa","group_item_title":"Iowa","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42],"probability":0.58,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3030.9924609767963,"volume_24hr":6.786040665033397,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-1.7943424029622292,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.028872013092041,"normalized_volume":23.643550872802734,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"manifold","id":"6cwin3j46t","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Maine","group_item_title":"Maine","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5527.146471622699,"volume_24hr":6.401974962755048,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-6.388172988650695,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.8327133655548096,"normalized_volume":27.31901741027832,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lhpk2ddy51","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Texas","group_item_title":"Texas","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6848.355390361374,"volume_24hr":4.97771920663854,"prob_24h_change":0.02999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1.7109606605217778,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.0580320358276367,"normalized_volume":28.694644927978516,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2im3vpwww4","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Michigan","group_item_title":"Michigan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2202.9204267272735,"volume_24hr":7.4465892609150615,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":2.2043262007964586,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.354920864105225,"normalized_volume":21.79950523376465,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"manifold","id":"k39xbzhp76","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Minnesota","group_item_title":"Minnesota","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3285.999997212226,"volume_24hr":1.7505692157333215,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":-41.74403357717574,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.9792287349700928,"normalized_volume":24.12227439880371,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ye1cqp2jfk","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"New Hampshire","group_item_title":"New Hampshire","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2115.8090173128853,"volume_24hr":21.44090092926899,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":-16.94789351545387,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.256695747375488,"normalized_volume":21.571699142456055,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"manifold","id":"4ey4ttz1n8","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Massachusetts","group_item_title":"Massachusetts","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012055,0.987945],"probability":0.012055,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4989.125225654734,"volume_24hr":209.40318797351028,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":209.40318797351028,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.36764144897461,"normalized_volume":26.673683166503906,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:23.896779Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055,0.012055]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5t23okjgdp","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Alabama","group_item_title":"Alabama","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.987953,0.012047],"probability":0.987953,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1759.0953819452172,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.54451560974121,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953,0.987953]},{"source":"manifold","id":"layh2qqgmw","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Wyoming","group_item_title":"Wyoming","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.987952,0.012048],"probability":0.987952,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1131.2167026598636,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.190349578857422,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952,0.987952]},{"source":"manifold","id":"hk7niagxhw","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Oklahoma","group_item_title":"Oklahoma","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.985726,0.014274],"probability":0.985726,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5420.010143797474,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.19507598876953,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726,0.985726]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bqaqoic2tx","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"West Virginia","group_item_title":"West Virginia","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.985724,0.014276],"probability":0.985724,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":885.9436323213731,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.949127197265625,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724,0.985724]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bhnzh7in4u","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Kentucky","group_item_title":"Kentucky","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.02],"probability":0.98,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":10677.248701671191,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.652626037597656,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ollcnehr8b","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Idaho","group_item_title":"Idaho","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.965368,0.034632],"probability":0.965368,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":5559.218013636537,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-803.0274539030534,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.3557071685791,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368,0.965368]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ir75jd4qly","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Arkansas","group_item_title":"Arkansas","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.952168,0.047832],"probability":0.952168,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1398.4517140228158,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-96.7348160931731,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.303176879882812,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168,0.952168]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nfajwrt5k6","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Tennessee","group_item_title":"Tennessee","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.05],"probability":0.95,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1375.2961269040202,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.214359283447266,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ozzoyu95ha","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"South Dakota","group_item_title":"South Dakota","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.95,0.05],"probability":0.95,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3778.402183945388,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-74.49446488651347,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.96109390258789,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.95]},{"source":"manifold","id":"94nm6o79py","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Louisiana","group_item_title":"Louisiana","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1761.1430413454405,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.5509090423584,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"manifold","id":"jgmcwxrzf0","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Montana","group_item_title":"Montana","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.07],"probability":0.93,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":43834.32995241261,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-87.46109561803314,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.024288177490234,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZIlS8QpnQ8","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Florida (Special)","group_item_title":"Florida (Special)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.09],"probability":0.91,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-16T03:10:24.039000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1702.4179400272149,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-8.835601302074565,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.364946365356445,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yzktn51czh","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Mississippi","group_item_title":"Mississippi","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.1],"probability":0.9,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1891.5303694115848,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-35.223599480168104,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.945331573486328,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ye8i3x5b0x","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Kansas","group_item_title":"Kansas","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1077.8456965234523,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.94139289855957,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"manifold","id":"yyOz9N8SNI","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Ohio (Special)","group_item_title":"Ohio (Special)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-16T03:10:06.919000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1547.1665943125854,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-4.885658715821592,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.845165252685547,"liquidity":25.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31]},{"source":"manifold","id":"am1tcf6a14","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Alaska","group_item_title":"Alaska","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":9823.081036578185,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":31.08619499206543,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"manifold","id":"atbya278yi","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Georgia","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.043805,0.956195],"probability":0.043805,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2099.108503485342,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.527095794677734,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805,0.043805]},{"source":"manifold","id":"dzrled87ng","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"North Carolina","group_item_title":"North Carolina","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.033358,0.966642],"probability":0.033358,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2375.6514996790156,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.228952407836914,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358,0.033358]},{"source":"manifold","id":"y9jafm5p8c","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"New Mexico","group_item_title":"New Mexico","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2005.9745944251895,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-6.592731558841024,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.272554397583008,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"manifold","id":"phxgui0jro","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"New Jersey","group_item_title":"New Jersey","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1965.2844676139032,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.158113479614258,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"manifold","id":"1lu4r9xkbu","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Oregon","group_item_title":"Oregon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.01945,0.98055],"probability":0.01945,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1788.7740907931789,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.63655662536621,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945,0.01945]},{"source":"manifold","id":"w5mfxpb0i","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Illinois","group_item_title":"Illinois","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.016421,0.983579],"probability":0.016421,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1700.3629827788009,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.358339309692383,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421,0.016421]},{"source":"manifold","id":"i1t88ptuho","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Rhode Island","group_item_title":"Rhode Island","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012051,0.987949],"probability":0.012051,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2099.332526290208,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.52769660949707,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051,0.012051]},{"source":"manifold","id":"iay7nyx1nh","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Colorado","group_item_title":"Colorado","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012049,0.987951],"probability":0.012049,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2848.6863427986123,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.27920150756836,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049,0.012049]},{"source":"manifold","id":"5enyknvq6x","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Delaware","group_item_title":"Delaware","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012048,0.987952],"probability":0.012048,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1975.7698890681745,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.18779945373535,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048]},{"source":"manifold","id":"72g7y3c7r1","event_id":"36n8hwv2y2","slug":null,"question":"Virginia","group_item_title":"Virginia","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012048,0.987952],"probability":0.012048,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-19T21:50:21.972000Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1848.9569825990536,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.819210052490234,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T03:38:27.645638Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T03:36:59.176014Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Ibozz91/will-a-republican-win-in-the-follow","event_title":"Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?","chart_24h":[0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048,0.012048]}]}