{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","as_of":"2026-11-04T05:20:49.875928Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"2028 US Presidential Election winner?\" — \"Other\" leads at 15% across 45 outcomes as of 2026-11-04 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a"},"source":"manifold","id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","ticker":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":"who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","description":"Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to \"Yes\" for the candidate officially declared the winner of the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election by the U.S. Electoral College and certified by Congress, as verified by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (FEC) or another authorized government body. If no candidate is declared the winner, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nRequest your candidate in comments.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/predyx_markets%2F2194b04e5577.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1390264.545357233,"volume_24hr":13722.504419377594,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.63145065307617,"normalized_volume":73.56932067871094,"liquidity":159050.0,"open_interest":null,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":["us-politics","2028-us-presidential-election-6tdsp26zly","politics-default","donald-trump","elections"],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Other","top_outcome_probability":0.154618,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0028829999999999967,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":250.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.463885Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.463885Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","chart_24h":[3300.68,3280.68,3280.68,3300.9559508692796,3453.9559508692796,6672.52595086928,5639.2820460928,4466.262046092799,10941.2620460928,12353.619122832446],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":45,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"791518ee0738","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Other","group_item_title":"Other","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.154618,0.845382],"probability":0.154618,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":32249.68744157913,"volume_24hr":250.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0028829999999999967,"volume_24h_change":250.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.358856201171875,"normalized_volume":39.62721633911133,"liquidity":15793.88318517324,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151735,0.151798,0.151798,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.151315,0.150724,0.151319,0.15,0.155805,0.155168]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0lUtSQN6dP","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Jon Ossoff","group_item_title":"Jon Ossoff","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.149645,0.850355],"probability":0.149645,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-13T04:19:12.563000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":29995.78920627245,"volume_24hr":1064.0059508692793,"prob_24h_change":0.061940999999999996,"volume_24h_change":1044.0059508692793,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.036008834838867,"normalized_volume":39.076045989990234,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.087704,0.086601,0.086601,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.094977,0.099552,0.101187,0.130763,0.151351,0.152118]},{"source":"manifold","id":"uq9dvz0u4c","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"JD Vance","group_item_title":"JD Vance","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.142181,0.857819],"probability":0.142181,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-16T06:51:14.261000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":90811.4809796639,"volume_24hr":7386.935690370301,"prob_24h_change":-0.060753,"volume_24h_change":7386.935690370301,"normalized_vol_24hr":42.51468276977539,"normalized_volume":47.9248161315918,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.202934,0.203137,0.203137,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.201583,0.199692,0.201597,0.193653,0.1494,0.148019]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nc955PSuIy","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","group_item_title":"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.097244,0.902756],"probability":0.097244,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-26T07:21:37.242000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":44708.567739795435,"volume_24hr":373.5046880161826,"prob_24h_change":0.00519,"volume_24h_change":-3291.6153119838273,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.814058303833008,"normalized_volume":42.160194396972656,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092054,0.092238,0.092238,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.090843,0.095832,0.085734,0.081516,0.09,0.091928]},{"source":"manifold","id":"e7e6c769d6e7","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Ron DeSantis","group_item_title":"Ron DeSantis","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.041389,0.958611],"probability":0.041389,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3651.1835057405547,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.024730000000000002,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.412565231323242,"normalized_volume":24.742551803588867,"liquidity":70.11148285857956,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016659,0.016674,0.016674,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.016559,0.01642,0.01656,0.016177,0.0164,0.01975]},{"source":"manifold","id":"bdd624a79c87","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Kamala Harris","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.035168,0.964832],"probability":0.035168,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":106736.36182737307,"volume_24hr":3128.220000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":3128.220000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.70973587036133,"normalized_volume":49.29094314575195,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036668,0.036678,0.036678,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.036603,0.035351,0.035439,0.035196,0.035338,0.035247]},{"source":"manifold","id":"nm5j5jb0da","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Josh Shapiro","group_item_title":"Josh Shapiro","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.031856,0.968144],"probability":0.031856,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-19T04:23:55.153000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":54544.84624063686,"volume_24hr":50.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0008560000000000026,"volume_24h_change":50.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.283343315124512,"normalized_volume":43.740623474121094,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.031,0.03103,0.03103,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030799,0.030519,0.030802,0.030031,0.030589,0.032125]},{"source":"manifold","id":"tt7icl33z1","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump (Sr.)","group_item_title":"Donald Trump (Sr.)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.015733,0.984267],"probability":0.015733,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-19T04:28:01.951000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":31855.809606066516,"volume_24hr":0.9527935766745941,"prob_24h_change":-0.0003720000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.9527935766745941,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.23999829590320587,"normalized_volume":39.5334587097168,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:34.269263Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016105,0.016115,0.016115,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.016039,0.015947,0.01604,0.015784,0.015933,0.015815]},{"source":"manifold","id":"34ae7a9d721f","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Gavin Newsom","group_item_title":"Gavin Newsom","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.09465,0.90535],"probability":0.09465,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":47325.84958279387,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0034450000000000036,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":42.609371185302734,"liquidity":110.11148285857956,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098095,0.098194,0.098194,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.097441,0.096526,0.097448,0.094929,0.096391,0.095453]},{"source":"manifold","id":"lAclcqdR8Q","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Marco Rubio","group_item_title":"Marco Rubio","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.075791,0.924209],"probability":0.075791,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-09T04:32:10.851000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":59491.85465123844,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.023189,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":44.439720153808594,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.09898,0.099282,0.099282,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.096999,0.094291,0.09702,0.089725,0.093898,0.091199]},{"source":"manifold","id":"03673fb72024","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Pete Buttigieg","group_item_title":"Pete Buttigieg","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.022491,0.977509],"probability":0.022491,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3715.936672636348,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0007749999999999979,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.848684310913086,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023266,0.023288,0.023288,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.023118,0.022913,0.02312,0.022553,0.022882,0.022671]},{"source":"manifold","id":"cbffbaffae26","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Tucker Carlson","group_item_title":"Tucker Carlson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.019605,0.980395],"probability":0.019605,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":9273.753523454028,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0022489999999999975,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.684038162231445,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021854,0.021923,0.021923,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.021408,0.020799,0.021412,0.019778,0.020711,0.020107]},{"source":"manifold","id":"fi2d49rk94","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Andy Beshear","group_item_title":"Andy Beshear","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.018356,0.981644],"probability":0.018356,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-04T04:19:58.647000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1713.0392093706746,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0008979999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.389543533325195,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.019254,0.01928,0.01928,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.019081,0.018842,0.019083,0.018428,0.018807,0.018563]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ehojg66nfn","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Mark Kelly","group_item_title":"Mark Kelly","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.012756,0.987244],"probability":0.012756,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-19T04:20:11.630000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2308.770881254437,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0006569999999999996,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.055788040161133,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013413,0.013432,0.013432,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013287,0.013112,0.013288,0.012809,0.013086,0.012908]},{"source":"manifold","id":"NgzdQAgyul","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"No 2028 Election","group_item_title":"No 2028 Election","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.011663,0.988337],"probability":0.011663,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-31T08:19:16.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":22460.258581086237,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0003099999999999995,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.91362762451172,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011973,0.011982,0.011982,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011914,0.011832,0.011915,0.011688,0.01182,0.011735]},{"source":"manifold","id":"Rq9ZAsh0sd","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Thomas Massie","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.010075,0.989925],"probability":0.010075,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T01:28:49.385000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":6197.544498306463,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00021599999999999918,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.03657341003418,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T01:38:02.002662Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010291,0.010297,0.010297,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.01025,0.010193,0.01025,0.010092,0.010184,0.010125]},{"source":"manifold","id":"qnEupgtt0s","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Wes Moore","group_item_title":"Wes Moore","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.008175,0.991825],"probability":0.008175,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-12T02:22:38.554000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":563.6079399839019,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00022900000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.761786460876465,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.008404,0.00841,0.00841,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.00836,0.0083,0.008361,0.008194,0.008291,0.008228]},{"source":"manifold","id":"pCSzIZcEUL","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Steve Bannon","group_item_title":"Steve Bannon","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.007535,0.992465],"probability":0.007535,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-27T06:08:57.839000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1783.0830369941864,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0001380000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.609466552734375,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":"2026-05-27T06:21:27.753432Z","url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007673,0.007677,0.007677,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007647,0.007611,0.007648,0.007546,0.007605,0.007567]},{"source":"manifold","id":"pEEuSIdSlq","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Raphael Warnock","group_item_title":"Raphael Warnock","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.006489,0.993511],"probability":0.006489,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-09T04:32:57.299000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":603.3349766433166,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00020799999999999985,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.080322265625,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006697,0.006703,0.006703,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006658,0.006602,0.006658,0.006506,0.006594,0.006538]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ELEEqggEqy","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Elissa Slotkin","group_item_title":"Elissa Slotkin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.004069,0.995931],"probability":0.004069,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-16T03:46:31.212000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":366.84821691857894,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00008000000000000021,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.832847595214844,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004149,0.004151,0.004151,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004134,0.004113,0.004134,0.004076,0.00411,0.004088]},{"source":"manifold","id":"spmlva83l5","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Tim Walz","group_item_title":"Tim Walz","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00371,0.99629],"probability":0.00371,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-04T22:28:59.807000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":464.90385293309646,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00002599999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.880017280578613,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003736,0.003737,0.003737,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003731,0.003725,0.003732,0.003712,0.003723,0.003716]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2pLZ5RhN88","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"JB Pritzker","group_item_title":"JB Pritzker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003457,0.996543],"probability":0.003457,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-09T04:35:12.141000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":666.0415500306439,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00007900000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.54885196685791,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003536,0.003538,0.003538,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.003521,0.0035,0.003521,0.003464,0.003497,0.003476]},{"source":"manifold","id":"71l35cxska","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Gretchen Whitmer","group_item_title":"Gretchen Whitmer","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.003327,0.996673],"probability":0.003327,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-16T07:00:35.787000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4860.975219523906,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000040999999999999804,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.49867057800293,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003368,0.003369,0.003369,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00336,0.00335,0.003361,0.003331,0.003348,0.003337]},{"source":"manifold","id":"trbfzbpdpu","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Tulsi Gabbard","group_item_title":"Tulsi Gabbard","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002629,0.997371],"probability":0.002629,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-19T04:43:21.234000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":33126.57655222389,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000053000000000000096,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.8322868347168,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002682,0.002684,0.002684,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002672,0.002658,0.002672,0.002634,0.002656,0.002642]},{"source":"manifold","id":"QAdI8n8EEQ","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Ruben Gallego","group_item_title":"Ruben Gallego","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002341,0.997659],"probability":0.002341,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-15T23:33:07.602000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":480.2472047694426,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000034999999999999875,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.026803016662598,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002376,0.002377,0.002377,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00237,0.00236,0.00237,0.002344,0.002359,0.002349]},{"source":"manifold","id":"815e2ea58635","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Nikki Haley","group_item_title":"Nikki Haley","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002303,0.997697],"probability":0.002303,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":981.3879984041221,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000021000000000000185,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.455297470092773,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002324,0.002325,0.002325,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.00232,0.002315,0.002321,0.002305,0.002314,0.002308]},{"source":"manifold","id":"09fed713776f","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Vivek Ramaswamy","group_item_title":"Vivek Ramaswamy","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002186,0.997814],"probability":0.002186,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":78.53471825011184,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000017999999999999787,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.0417985916137695,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002204,0.002205,0.002205,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002201,0.002196,0.002201,0.002187,0.002195,0.00219]},{"source":"manifold","id":"u3gke4jzk4","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Mike Gallagher","group_item_title":"Mike Gallagher","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002173,0.997827],"probability":0.002173,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-29T08:06:39.297000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.6777674038107477,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00001299999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.0984579473733902,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002186,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.002183,0.00218,0.002184,0.002174,0.002179,0.002176]},{"source":"manifold","id":"450b8ec4b687","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Donald Trump Jr.","group_item_title":"Donald Trump Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002162,0.997838],"probability":0.002162,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":499.77008741863335,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00006700000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.20800495147705,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002229,0.002231,0.002231,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002216,0.002198,0.002216,0.002167,0.002196,0.002177]},{"source":"manifold","id":"9OpQ6yPShg","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Glenn Youngkin","group_item_title":"Glenn Youngkin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.002071,0.997929],"probability":0.002071,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-11T20:53:56.665000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":259.09693637083717,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00003000000000000008,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.371161460876465,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002101,0.002102,0.002102,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002096,0.002088,0.002096,0.002074,0.002086,0.002078]},{"source":"manifold","id":"67a3e7a4a7d2","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","group_item_title":"Robert F. Kennedy Jr.","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001685,0.998315],"probability":0.001685,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000023000000000000017,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.1142237186431885,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001708,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001703,0.001697,0.001703,0.001686,0.001696,0.00169]},{"source":"manifold","id":"ZzCNtZcPyR","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Elon Musk","group_item_title":"Elon Musk","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001498,0.998502],"probability":0.001498,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-21T05:19:33.024000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2669.3113002695945,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000014000000000000123,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.889646530151367,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001512,0.001513,0.001513,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.00151,0.001506,0.00151,0.001499,0.001505,0.001501]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0d71bc5e8603","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Ivanka Trump","group_item_title":"Ivanka Trump","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001488,0.998512],"probability":0.001488,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000020000000000000052,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001508,0.001509,0.001509,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001505,0.001499,0.001505,0.00149,0.001499,0.001493]},{"source":"manifold","id":"gl8nI62sdy","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Shawn Fain","group_item_title":"Shawn Fain","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001445,0.998555],"probability":0.001445,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-16T03:48:05.968000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":100.29431862356357,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000015999999999999955,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.841589450836182,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001461,0.001462,0.001462,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001458,0.001454,0.001458,0.001446,0.001453,0.001449]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0cLsI5nggt","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Cory Booker","group_item_title":"Cory Booker","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001415,0.998585],"probability":0.001415,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-09T04:31:18.482000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":76.23195169155541,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000021999999999999884,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.947563171386719,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001437,0.001438,0.001438,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001433,0.001427,0.001433,0.001417,0.001426,0.00142]},{"source":"manifold","id":"RUOuUsAydy","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Abigail Spanberger","group_item_title":"Abigail Spanberger","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00125,0.99875],"probability":0.00125,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-12-04T19:55:45.907000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":246.83526979230243,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000012000000000000075,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.174532890319824,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.001262,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.00126,0.001257,0.00126,0.001251,0.001256,0.001253]},{"source":"manifold","id":"u5nzP00QSz","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Mike Johnson","group_item_title":"Mike Johnson","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.001242,0.998758],"probability":0.001242,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-02-26T06:42:09.731000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":66.69589298296661,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.000011999999999999858,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.532673358917236,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001254,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001252,0.001249,0.001252,0.001243,0.001248,0.001245]},{"source":"manifold","id":"drk8ffzxyo","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Greg Abbott","group_item_title":"Greg Abbott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00111,0.99889],"probability":0.00111,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-28T23:23:15.339000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":98.50274158536172,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00003600000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.781103134155273,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001146,0.001147,0.001147,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.001139,0.00113,0.001139,0.001113,0.001128,0.001118]},{"source":"manifold","id":"P5hs6yp9SZ","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Jacky Rosen","group_item_title":"Jacky Rosen","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000581,0.999419],"probability":0.000581,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-16T03:47:19.757000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1.1983527396006366,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-3.999999999999989e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.22815048694610596,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000585,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000584,0.000583,0.000584,0.000581,0.000583,0.000582]},{"source":"manifold","id":"2155933bf922","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Dean Phillips","group_item_title":"Dean Phillips","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000579,0.999421],"probability":0.000579,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":445.9411844131191,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.00001100000000000005,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.692909240722656,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.00059,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000588,0.000585,0.000588,0.00058,0.000584,0.000581]},{"source":"manifold","id":"0UdUQyl8tt","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Tammy Baldwin","group_item_title":"Tammy Baldwin","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000571,0.999429],"probability":0.000571,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-11-16T03:46:54.208000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1.2839256626456574,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-3.999999999999989e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.2508077621459961,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000575,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000574,0.000573,0.000574,0.000571,0.000573,0.000572]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f9a2d2dea329","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Tim Scott","group_item_title":"Tim Scott","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000434,0.999566],"probability":0.000434,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":66.37205276976692,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-7.0000000000000075e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.517817974090576,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.000441,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.00044,0.000438,0.00044,0.000435,0.000438,0.000436]},{"source":"manifold","id":"f4a85d0503f0","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Joe Rogan","group_item_title":"Joe Rogan","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000385,0.999615],"probability":0.000385,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":209.9849463321625,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-7.0000000000000075e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.531449317932129,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000392,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000391,0.000389,0.000391,0.000386,0.000389,0.000387]},{"source":"manifold","id":"rgxub62rh2","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)","group_item_title":"Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.000239,0.999761],"probability":0.000239,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-07-20T19:56:46.596000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":185.56596872405044,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-5.999999999999983e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.052916526794434,"liquidity":100.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000245,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000244,0.000242,0.000244,0.00024,0.000242,0.00024]},{"source":"manifold","id":"d3f883d95ef7","event_id":"461Vv3RpCpvUKKczW8Yw","slug":null,"question":"Kanye West","group_item_title":"Kanye West","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.00023,0.99977],"probability":0.00023,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-01-10T06:40:30.545000Z","end_date":"2028-11-06T07:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":102.99999999999409,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-3.999999999999989e-6,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.93136739730835,"liquidity":50.11148285857957,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-04T04:57:40.021532Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-04T04:55:04.933674Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a","event_title":"2028 US Presidential Election winner?","chart_24h":[0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000234,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000233,0.000232,0.000233,0.000231,0.000232,0.000231]}]}