{"source":"manifold","id":"4YNAbhWwcXPPTCHFp9i1","ticker":null,"slug":"will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb","title":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?","description":"Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.\n\nI keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here:\n@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again \n\nSee also:\n\n@/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun \n\n@/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 \n\nArtemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026 ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FX8n1m-W-W5.png?alt=media&token=d498a38d-f155-4ed1-b33a-d93709c98333","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-09T14:06:24.925000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57757.248040777464,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.126041412353516,"liquidity":2195.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.545021,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?","top_outcome_probability":0.545021,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-06T01:57:25.529053Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T01:57:25.529053Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb","chart_24h":[0.545021,0.545021],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"4YNAbhWwcXPPTCHFp9i1","event_id":"4YNAbhWwcXPPTCHFp9i1","slug":"will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb","question":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030.\n\nI keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here:\n@/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again \n\nSee also:\n\n@/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun \n\n@/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 \n\nArtemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026 ","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/dream%2FX8n1m-W-W5.png?alt=media&token=d498a38d-f155-4ed1-b33a-d93709c98333","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.545021,0.454979],"probability":0.545021,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2023-04-09T14:06:24.925000Z","end_date":"2029-12-31T22:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":57757.248040777464,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":45.126041412353516,"liquidity":2195.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:36:25.491276Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-06T01:55:32.715125Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb","event_title":"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?","chart_24h":[0.545021,0.545021]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/4YNAbhWwcXPPTCHFp9i1","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:32:39.896129Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}