{"source":"manifold","id":"4ix9x0phd4","ticker":null,"slug":"will-donald-trump-be-elected-presid-ulfuk5vr9a","title":"Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?","description":"only the orange hair former President Donald Trump counts.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/AmmonLam/56szxhks16.jpg","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-05T02:22:20.730000Z","end_date":"2048-08-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":118425.56845509665,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.23024368286133,"liquidity":1000.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.020789,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?","top_outcome_probability":0.020789,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T06:46:47.573580Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-donald-trump-be-elected-presid-ulfuk5vr9a","chart_24h":[0.020789,0.020789],"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"4ix9x0phd4","event_id":"4ix9x0phd4","slug":"will-donald-trump-be-elected-presid-ulfuk5vr9a","question":"Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?","group_item_title":null,"description":"only the orange hair former President Donald Trump counts.","image":"https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/AmmonLam/56szxhks16.jpg","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.020789,0.979211],"probability":0.020789,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2024-08-05T02:22:20.730000Z","end_date":"2048-08-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":118425.56845509665,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.23024368286133,"liquidity":1000.0,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:37:20.483894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:28:43.497510Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-donald-trump-be-elected-presid-ulfuk5vr9a","event_title":"Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?","chart_24h":[0.020789,0.020789]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/4ix9x0phd4","as_of":"2026-06-10T14:21:56.400810Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?\" — top market at 2% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}