{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/manifold/52sSQUNR2s","as_of":"2026-10-24T07:00:11.915849Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Manifold): \"Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?\" — 60% as of 2026-10-24 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/manifold/52sSQUNR2s","source_url":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-anthropic-have-a-higher-market"},"source":"manifold","id":"52sSQUNR2s","ticker":null,"slug":"will-anthropic-have-a-higher-market","title":"Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?","description":"Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second\n\nResolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030\n\nAlso resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FLORL5qpu6d.png?alt=media&token=0076ef33-8fc3-4000-8ee8-3e8893001ea9","icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T21:12:54.397000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":44842.95121821361,"volume_24hr":372.2412182054375,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.803091049194336,"normalized_volume":42.19696807861328,"liquidity":10010.0,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":true,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":0.604254,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?","top_outcome_probability":0.604254,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:54:03.204626Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-anthropic-have-a-higher-market","chart_24h":[0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"manifold","id":"52sSQUNR2s","event_id":"52sSQUNR2s","slug":"will-anthropic-have-a-higher-market","question":"Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second\n\nResolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030\n\nAlso resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO","image":"https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FLORL5qpu6d.png?alt=media&token=0076ef33-8fc3-4000-8ee8-3e8893001ea9","icon":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"outcome_prices":[0.604254,0.395746],"probability":0.604254,"spread":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-31T21:12:54.397000Z","end_date":"2030-12-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":44842.95121821361,"volume_24hr":372.2412182054375,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.803091049194336,"normalized_volume":42.19696807861328,"liquidity":10010.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T06:52:19.405250Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T06:52:19.405250Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-anthropic-have-a-higher-market","event_title":"Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?","chart_24h":[0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254,0.604254]}]}